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2010-01-22
On Thursday President Obama introduced some new rules to prevent a return to the "old practices" that led to the financial meltdown.

Although they are complex the Street is largely focused on two major points:

They are:
- Banks would be prevented from owning, investing in or sponsoring a hedge fund or private equity fund.

- Banks would be barred from proprietary trading operations, unrelated to serving customers, for their own profit.


(Proprietary trading refers to a firm making bets on financial markets with its own money, rather than executing a trade for a client – and can be enormously profitable.)


Investors immediately crushed big bank stocks but the question is why? Some investors interpret the sell-off as a response to uncertainty.


“Can you be comfortable owning financials with so many unknowns? Personally, I would not want to own them until I understood what the new rules of the road,” says veteran trader Kaminsky in response to owning Goldman shares.


Others see the sell-off very differently. People like Lee Markowitz of Continental Capital Advisors thinks bears seized the moment – and used the catalyst to begin a long-awaited correction.


"We think stocks have been ripe for a fall," said Markowitz in a Reuters interview. "If some of these banks start to sell, the credit-induced rally of the past 10 months is over and is about to have a pretty bearish reversal."

from CNBC FAST MONEY

Were the markets overdue for a correction?  If Obama hadn't provided this catalyst would something else have taken them lower?
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2010-1-22 07:59:03
KBE (Banks index ETF) actually outperformed S&P500 this morning, so Obama's new rules can't be that bad.

And I can't imagine how Goldman Sachs, also a bank now, would be barred from proprietary trading operations.

Market corrects whenever it wants to correct. Media always tries to find an explanation after the fact, but it's an useless exercise.
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2010-1-25 09:19:10
ectopic 发表于 2010-1-22 07:59
KBE (Banks index ETF) actually outperformed S&P500 this morning, so Obama's new rules can't be that bad.

And I can't imagine how Goldman Sachs, also a bank now, would be barred from proprietary trading operations.

Market corrects whenever it wants to correct. Media always tries to find an explanation after the fact, but it's an useless exercise.
It is the correction time again by concerning over monetary policy tighting in China and warring over Obama's bank regulation plus Greece dept woes hurting Euro. Watch the market closely !
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