1 论文标题

China’s Growth Deceleration: Causes and Future Growth Prospect

2 作者信息

Justin Yifu Lin

Institute of New Structural Economics, Institute of South-South Cooperation and Development, National School of Development, Peking University

3 出处Justin Yifu Lin. China’s Growth Deceleration: Causes and Future Growth Prospect[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(1): 26-52.

链接
http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/10.3868/s060-008-019-0003-1
http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/Y2019/V14/I1/26

4 摘要

Abstract：China’s growth decelerated substantially after 2010. This paper argues that the main cause for the deceleration is external and cyclical, China has a potential growth rate of 8%, the economy has good investment opportunities and resources, and China is likely to achieve a medium high growth rate of around 6.5% in the coming years.The paper also examines the various structural reforms that can help China to release its growth potential and complete the transition to a well-functioning market economy.

中国经济增长减速：成因与未来增长前景

林毅夫

北京大学新结构经济学研究院、南南合作发展学院、国家发展研究院

摘  要：自2010年以来，中国的经济增长大幅减速。本文认为，其主因是外部性、周期性因素；中国经济有每年增长8%的潜力，并有较好的投资机会和资源；在未来年份里，中国有可能达到每年6.5%的中高速增长。本文同时探讨了各种有助于中国释放增长潜力并实现向良好市场经济转型的结构性改革。