绝对价钱合理 都是最新版的 大家放心下哈
Table of Contents

Chapter 1  Exam-taking and study strategy........................................5
Top Horse, Middle Horse, Weak Horse..........................................................................5
Truths about Exam P.......................................................................................................6
Why good candidates fail................................................................................................8
Recommended study method........................................................................................10
CBT (computer-based testing) and its implications......................................................11
Chapter 2  Doing calculations 100% correct 100% of the time.......13
What calculators to use for Exam P..............................................................................13
Critical calculator tips...................................................................................................17
Comparison of 3 best calculators..................................................................................26
Chapter 3  Set, sample space, probability models.............................27
Chapter 4  Multiplication/addition rule, counting problems...........41
Chapter 5  Probability laws and “whodunit”.....................................48
Chapter 6  Conditional Probability.....................................................60
Chapter 7  Bayes’ theorem and posterior probabilities....................64
Chapter 8  Random variables..............................................................73
Discrete random variable vs. continuous random variable...........................................75
Probability mass function.............................................................................................75
Cumulative probability function (CDF)........................................................................78
PDF and CDF for continuous random variables...........................................................79
Properties of CDF.........................................................................................................80
Mean and variance of a random variable......................................................................82
Mean of a function........................................................................................................84
Chapter 9  Independence......................................................................86
Chapter 10  Percentile, mean, median, mode, moment........................90
Chapter 11  Find  ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ,,, EXVarXEXYVarXY || ................................94
Chapter 12  Bernoulli distribution.......................................................110
Chapter 13  Binomial distribution........................................................111
Chapter 14  Geometric distribution.....................................................120
Chapter 15  Negative binomial.............................................................128
Chapter 16  Hypergeometric distribution...........................................139
Chapter 17  Uniform distribution........................................................142
Chapter 18  Exponential distribution..................................................145
Chapter 19  Poisson distribution..........................................................168
Chapter 20  Gamma distribution.........................................................172
Chapter 21  Beta distribution...............................................................182
Chapter 22  Weibull distribution..........................................................192
Chapter 23  Pareto distribution............................................................199
Chapter 24  Normal distribution..........................................................206
Chapter 25  Lognormal distribution....................................................211
Chapter 26  Chi-square distribution....................................................220
Chapter 27  Bivariate normal distribution..........................................225
Chapter 28  Joint density and double integration..............................230
Chapter 29  Marginal/conditional density...........................................250
Chapter 30  Transformation: CDF, PDF, and Jacobian Method.....261
Chapter 31  Univariate & joint order statistics..................................278
Chapter 32  Double expectation............................................................296
Chapter 33  Moment generating function...........................................302
14 Key MGF formulas you must memorize...............................................................303
Chapter 34  Joint moment generating function..................................326
Chapter 35  Markov’s inequality, Chebyshev inequality...................333
Chapter 36  Study Note “Risk and Insurance” explained.................346
Deductible, benefit limit.............................................................................................346
Coinsurance.................................................................................................................351
The effect of inflation on loss and claim payment......................................................355
Mixture of distributions..............................................................................................358
Coefficient of variation...............................................................................................362
Normal approximation................................................................................................365
Security loading..........................................................................................................374
Chapter 37  On becoming an actuary…..............................................375
Guo’s Mock Exam....................................................................................377
Solution to Guo’s Mock Exam.................................................................388
Final tips on taking Exam P.....................................................................423
About the author.......................................................................................424
Value of this PDF study manual..............................................................425
User review of Mr. Guo’s P Manual.......................................................425