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2019-09-02

续上一贴。。。


We also take a portfolio approach withHurst logic. For example, we scanned the NASD100 index to find the dominantcycle. This turned out to be cycle period 78. Then we wanted to find stockswithin the NASD100 that are most sensitive to cycle period 78 for ourportfolio. The results follow.


1190956302_xNXxV-O.jpg



The above Hurst cycles are adaptive cyclesto price action. Readtheticker.com can also draw standard sine wave cycles (thesecycles do not change with price action) for those folks who follow Wall (20week) and Kitchin (60 or 180 week) cycles, and the cycles can be combined forcycle trend studies.

Example


SineWaveCyclev1.png


Here is an example of standard (fixed) sinewaves and adaptive sine waves confirming price action.


TNXExample2.png


If you are a fan of the Wall and Kitchincycles, then the follow chart is an example of them:


WallKitchCyclesExample.png


The following chart is an example of othertools used with cycles tools, below is RTT Steps and RTT Squeeze with RTTHurstDPO.


GLDSqueezeCyclev1.png



Fundamentals areimportant, and so is market timing, here we believe a combination of GannAngles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to secure better timingthan most, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.




2019年9月2日下午三点收盘后焦炭主力合约J2001分析结果供2日夜盘或9月3日日盘参考。


捕获1.PNG



捕获2.PNG


捕获3.PNG


Price is currently in the SECOND 4 daycycle, of the SECOND 8 day cycle, of the FIRST 16 day cycle, of the SECOND 34day cycle, of the 65 day cycle.

Formal Phasing Analysis (inverted analysis:synchronised peaks) reveals that the dominant cycle has a wavelength of 34.2d,or 34 bars. This is assumed to be the 40d nominal wave, which implies that allwaves will be approximately the same (0% variance) as nominal. This cycle isjust beginning to RISE. The underlying trend to this cycle is currentlyslightly UP, likely slowing down. Recent fulfilled projections however wouldseem to indicate that the underlying trend is STRONGLY DOWN. The future FLDindicates that this cycle will influence prices to rise for a short time, andthen form a peak.

The sub-dominant cycle (next wave down fromthe dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 16.7d, or 17 bars. This is assumed to bethe 20d nominal wave. This cycle is overdue for a TROUGH (and a very minornest-of-highs). This cycle is overdue for a turn, so possibly this cycle hasjust started, or is about to start the second wave of 2 sub-waves. Theunderlying trend to this cycle is currently slightly UP, likely accelerating.Recent fulfilled projections however would seem to indicate that the underlyingtrend is STRONGLY DOWN. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influenceprices very little because despite near-term volatility the FLD becomesrange-bound.

The pre-dominant cycle (next wave up fromthe dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 65.0d, or 65 bars. This is assumed tobe the 80d nominal wave. This cycle is RISING, probably slowing down as itapproaches a PEAK (and a small nest-of-highs). The underlying trend to thiscycle is currently slightly UP, likely accelerating. Recent fulfilledprojections however would seem to indicate that the underlying trend isSTRONGLY DOWN. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influence pricesto RISE.

Σ L is currently UP (strength: 1), and accelerating.

The 34.2d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently UP (strength: 1), but decelerating.

The 16.7d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently STRONGLY UP (strength: 2 cycles), and accelerating.

The 8.3d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently UP (strength: 1)

The 4.2d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently STRONGLY DOWN (strength: -7 cycles), and accelerating.

CURRENT FLD PATTERN PROJECTION:

Price has risen over the past 4 bars (lastclose 1916) in an otherwise DOWNWARD price movement, in an UPWARD FLD pattern.

The first FLD pattern sequence (ref #0)projects a price movement UP to a target of 2001.02 by about 2019/9/16. Pricemight cross OVER the 16 day FLD on 2019/9/2 & level: 1924.15 however thisFLD cross is too late in the cycle to be considered valid, and so it is morelikely that the FLD will form resistance at this level. Price might cross OVERthe 34 day FLD on 2019/9/10 & level: 1926.78 however this FLD cross is toolate in the cycle to be considered valid, and so it is more likely that the FLDwill form resistance at this level.

The second FLD pattern sequence (ref #1)projects a price movement DOWN to a target of 1727.89 by about 2019/10/2.

OUTSTANDING FLD PROJECTIONS:

65.0d: no projection

34.2d: no projection

16.7d: no projection

8.3d Refined FLD projection created on2019/8/29 projecting a price rise of 45.8986 to 1922.7970 by 2019/9/2. Thisprojection target was reached and exceeded on 2019/9/2. Normal FLD projectioncreated on 2019/9/1 projecting a price rise of 57.7084 to 1946.4170 by2019/9/5. This is still a valid projection target.

4.2d Refined FLD projection created on2019/8/29 projecting a price rise of 48.6945 to 1928.3890 by 2019/9/2. This isstill a valid projection target. Normal FLD projection created on 2019/8/31 projectinga price rise of 49.1250 to 1929.2500 by 2019/9/3. This is still a validprojection target.



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