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2019-09-05


记得查霍尔曾经说过:“有什么样的思想,就有什么样的行为;有什么样的行为,就有什么样的习惯;有什么样的习惯,就有什么样的性格;有什么样的性格,就有什么样的命运。”  国内期货交易标的每天的暴涨暴跌,毫无疑问其独特性和唯一性是由其所在的种族和文化决定的。一个“失心疯+癫痫病+帕金森病”综合患者常年生活在北极和南极之地,能不造就其独冠全球的异禀?

孔子说:“少成若天性,习惯如自然。” 与生俱来的绝症什么药方能治愈或应付? 结合我多年的经验,下面开出一剂良方以飨读者(Gann + Wyckoff + Cycles + Ney Logic)

MarketPhasesCyclesv2.png




2019年9月5日下午三点收盘后焦炭主力合约J2001分析结果:

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Price is currently in the FIRST 4 daycycle, of the FIRST 8 day cycle, of the FIRST 17 day cycle, of the SECOND 34day cycle, of the 67 day cycle.

Updated FPA reveals that the dominant cyclehas a wavelength of 34.8d, or 35 bars. This is assumed to be the 40d nominalwave, which implies that all waves will be approximately the same (3% variance)as nominal. This cycle is RISING fast. The underlying trend to this cycle iscurrently slightly DOWN, likely slowing down. Recent fulfilled projectionsconfirm the trend is DOWN, but indicate that it is STRONGLY DOWN. The futureFLD indicates that this cycle will influence prices very little because despitenear-term volatility the FLD becomes range-bound.

The sub-dominant cycle (next wave down fromthe dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 17.4d, or 17 bars. This is assumed tobe the 20d nominal wave. This cycle is approaching a PEAK. This is probably theFIRST of 2 sub-waves. The underlying trend to this cycle is currently slightlyDOWN, likely slowing down. Recent fulfilled projections confirm the trend isslightly DOWN, but indicate it is accelerating (speeding up). The future FLDindicates that this cycle will influence prices to peak soon, and then fall.

The pre-dominant cycle (next wave up fromthe dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 67.5d, or 68 bars. This is assumed tobe the 80d nominal wave. This cycle is FALLING fast. The underlying trend tothis cycle is currently slightly DOWN, likely accelerating. Recent fulfilledprojections however would seem to indicate that the underlying trend isSTRONGLY UP. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influence prices toRISE.

Σ L is currently DOWN (strength: 1), and accelerating.

The 34.8d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently STRONGLY DOWN (strength: -2 cycles), but decelerating.

The 17.4d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently DOWN (strength: 1), but decelerating.

The 8.6d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently UP (strength: 1), and accelerating.

The 4.3d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently STRONGLY DOWN (strength: -3 cycles), and accelerating.

The last phasing analysis was 1 bar ago. Inthat time price has RISEN by 2.00 to 1918.00.

FLD PATTERN PROGRESSION:

Sequence Ref #0 is expected to reach aHIGHER target of 2066.97(86.04 diff) by the same date, on 2019/9/5

Sequence Ref #1 is expected to reach a LOWERtarget of 1802.11(50.14 diff) by the same date, on 2019/9/30

DETAILED FLD PATTERN/PRICE CORRELATION:

Price did move UP (for 1 bar) as expectedby the FIRST sequence (ref #0) of the previous pattern but has NOT YET reachedthe target of 1980.92. The closest price has gotten to this target was 1953(1.4% short). The target was due on the last bar. The crossing of the 34 dayVTL (expected yesterday) has NOT YET occurred.

The SECOND sequence (ref #1) of theprevious pattern could have started, in which case: Price has got no closer tothe target of 1802.11. The closest price has gotten to this target so far is1913.00 (6.2% short), 0 bars ago. This target is only expected to be achievedin 24 bars. The crossing of the 4 day VTL (expected today) has NOT YEToccurred.

CURRENT FLD PATTERN PROJECTION:

Price is currently moving UP (last close1918), with the FLD pattern indicating an impending DOWNWARD move, because: Itis possible that the first sequence of the FLD pattern has already beenfulfilled, by the high of 1953 on 2019/9/5 which would indicate that thesecond, DOWNWARD sequence of the pattern is now in progress.

The first FLD pattern sequence (ref #0)projects a price movement UP to a target of 2066.97 by about 2019/9/5.

The second FLD pattern sequence (ref #1)projects a price movement DOWN to a target of 1802.11 by about 2019/9/26.

OUTSTANDING FLD PROJECTIONS:

67.5d: no projection

34.8d: no projection

17.4d: no projection

8.6d Refined FLD projection created on2019/9/3 projecting a price fall of 22.3528 to 1879.2940 by 2019/9/6. Thisprojection target was reached and exceeded on 2019/9/3.

4.3d: no projection



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