平衡风电集成系统的低碳电力调度策略Balancing low-carbon power dispatching strategy for wind power integrated system
作者：金景良
周鹏
张明明
于宪宇
丁浩

摘要：
随着风电集成系统中碳交易的引入，决策者可能面临更多的矛盾，例如经济与环境，客观与主观，确定性与不确定性。为了平衡这些矛盾，本文提出了同时关注碳价和风电不确定性的经济排放调度模型。特别要考虑消除风电不确定性在经济和环境方面的不利影响的因素，可以根据碳价定量地描述决策者对风电发展的主观投资态度。仿真结果最终表明，增加惩罚系数核心可以反映决策者更为激进的投资态度，在提高储备系数核心的同时，体现了更为保守的投资态度；碳价上涨通常会鼓励决策者探索更多的风能，并限制火力发电；决策者持有的态度越激进，对输出进行调度对碳价越敏感，风力发电的发展就越快。在充分考虑碳价和风电不确定性的基础上，提出的模型有助于探索更加均衡的风电集成系统低碳电力调度策略。更快的风力发电。在充分考虑碳价和风电不确定性的基础上，提出的模型有助于探索更加均衡的风电集成系统低碳电力调度策略。更快的风力发电。在充分考虑碳价和风电不确定性的基础上，提出的模型有助于探索更加均衡的风电集成系统低碳电力调度策略。


AbstractWith the introduction of carbon trading in wind power integrated system, decision-makers may face more contradictions, such as economy and environment, objectivity and subjectivity, certainty and uncertainty. In order to balance these contradictions, this paper presents an economic emission dispatch model focusing on carbon price and wind power uncertainty simultaneously. Specifically factors for eliminating adverse effects of wind power uncertainty in both economic and environmental respects are particularly considered, decision-makers’ subjective investment attitudes towards wind power development could be quantitatively depicted according to carbon price. The simulation results eventually demonstrate that increasing the penalty coefficient core reflects decision-makers’ more radical investment attitudes, while improving the reserve coefficient core embodies more conservative investment attitudes; increasing carbon price will generally encourage decision-makers to explore more wind power, and to restrict thermal power; the more radical attitudes decision-makers hold, scheduling outputs the more sensitive with carbon price, and the faster wind power advance. Taking into full account carbon price and wind power uncertainty, the proposed model is beneficial to exploring a more balanced low-carbon power dispatching strategy for wind power integrated system.