英文文献:Glacier Melting and Retreat: Understanding the Perception of Agricultural Households That Face the Challenges of Climate Change-冰川融化和退缩:理解面临气候变化挑战的农业家庭的看法
英文文献作者:Bernal-Escobar, Adriana,Cuervo-Sánchez, Rafael,Pinzon-Trujillo, Gonzalo,Maldonado, Jorge Higinio
英文文献摘要:
In recent years a rise in glaciers equilibrium line, both in Colombia and Latin America has been observed. Glacier melting and retreat lead to a change in the availability of water, which largely affects agriculture, being it responsible for 10-14 percent of Colombian GDP. Using framed economic experimental games we studied the decisions made by farmers that depend on high-mountain water about water use and their response to institutions that facilitate adaptation to climate change. Results show that farmers react to reduction in water availability increasing the use of surface water from districts, ignoring that this source also depends on climatic conditions. When players face the possibility to adapt to climate change, they tend to invest in such strategies but consumption of water is not reduced. From the results, policy recommendations emerge about strategies for facing water scarcity in a climate-change scenario.
近年来,在哥伦比亚和拉丁美洲都观察到冰川平衡线的上升。冰川的融化和后退导致了水的可获得性的变化,这在很大程度上影响了农业,因为农业占哥伦比亚GDP的10- 14%。利用框架经济实验博弈,我们研究了依赖高山水的农民关于用水的决策,以及他们对促进适应气候变化的制度的反应。结果表明,农民对水可用性减少的反应是增加了区域地表水的使用,而忽略了这一来源也取决于气候条件。当参与者面对适应气候变化的可能性时,他们倾向于投资这样的策略,但水的消耗并没有减少。从这些结果中,政策建议提出了应对气候变化情景下水资源短缺的策略。