摘要翻译:
本文认为,要正确评估当前正在展开的金融危机及其解决办法,至少需要追溯到20世纪90年代末,考虑到ITC、房地产和金融衍生品泡沫的累积效应。我们关注的是信任的深度丧失,不仅是在华尔街,更重要的是在大街上,以及如何在短期和长期内恢复信任。需要一种多学科的方法来处理当今世界的非线性复杂系统,以便发展一种公平的文化,以及与风险世界相关的上升机会。
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英文标题:
《Trust! Why it Has Been Lost and How to Regain It》
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作者:
D. Sornette
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最新提交年份:
2008
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分类信息:
一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:General Finance 一般财务
分类描述:Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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一级分类:Physics 物理学
二级分类:Physics and Society 物理学与社会
分类描述:Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体(人类或其他)的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统(如能源网、运输网络)的物理和工程。
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英文摘要:
This essay suggests that a proper assessment of the presently unfolding financial crisis, and its cure, requires going back at least to the late 1990s, accounting for the cumulative effect of the ITC, real-estate and financial derivative bubbles. We focus on the deep loss of trust, not only in Wall Street, but more importantly in Main Street, and how to recover it on the short and long terms. A multi-disciplinary approach is needed to deal with the nonlinear complex systems of the present world, in order to develop a culture of fairness, and of upside opportunities associated with a risky world.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/0810.4608