摘要翻译:
Ellsberg思想实验和Ellsberg偏好的实证证实对主观期望效用理论提出了严峻的挑战。我们最近阐述了一个在不确定情况下人类决策的量子理论框架,它令人满意地处理了Ellsberg悖论和SEUT的其他难题。本文将量子论框架应用于{It Ellsberg双瓮例子},表明该悖论可以通过假设决策对象概念实体({It decision-making},或{It DM},{It实体})的状态变化并用量子概率表示主观概率来解释。在上述理论框架内,我们还对我们在人类参与者的DM测试中收集的经验数据进行了建模。所得到的结果是相关的,因为它们提供了一条线来模拟现实生活,例如金融和医疗决策,显示出与双瓮实验相同的经验模式。
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英文标题:
《Quantum Structures in Human Decision-making: Towards Quantum Expected
Utility》
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作者:
Sandro Sozzo
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最新提交年份:
2018
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分类信息:
一级分类:Computer Science 计算机科学
二级分类:Artificial Intelligence
人工智能
分类描述:Covers all areas of AI except Vision, Robotics, Machine Learning, Multiagent Systems, and Computation and Language (Natural Language Processing), which have separate subject areas. In particular, includes Expert Systems, Theorem Proving (although this may overlap with Logic in Computer Science), Knowledge Representation, Planning, and Uncertainty in AI. Roughly includes material in ACM Subject Classes I.2.0, I.2.1, I.2.3, I.2.4, I.2.8, and I.2.11.
涵盖了人工智能的所有领域,除了视觉、机器人、机器学习、多智能体系统以及计算和语言(自然语言处理),这些领域有独立的学科领域。特别地,包括专家系统,定理证明(尽管这可能与计算机科学中的逻辑重叠),知识表示,规划,和人工智能中的不确定性。大致包括ACM学科类I.2.0、I.2.1、I.2.3、I.2.4、I.2.8和I.2.11中的材料。
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一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述:General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类:Quantitative Biology 数量生物学
二级分类:Neurons and Cognition 神经元与认知
分类描述:Synapse, cortex, neuronal dynamics, neural network, sensorimotor control, behavior, attention
突触,皮层,神经元动力学,
神经网络,感觉运动控制,行为,注意
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一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:Economics 经济学
分类描述:q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学,包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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一级分类:Physics 物理学
二级分类:Quantum Physics 量子物理学
分类描述:Description coming soon
描述即将到来
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英文摘要:
{\it Ellsberg thought experiments} and empirical confirmation of Ellsberg preferences pose serious challenges to {\it subjective expected utility theory} (SEUT). We have recently elaborated a quantum-theoretic framework for human decisions under uncertainty which satisfactorily copes with the Ellsberg paradox and other puzzles of SEUT. We apply here the quantum-theoretic framework to the {\it Ellsberg two-urn example}, showing that the paradox can be explained by assuming a state change of the conceptual entity that is the object of the decision ({\it decision-making}, or {\it DM}, {\it entity}) and representing subjective probabilities by quantum probabilities. We also model the empirical data we collected in a DM test on human participants within the theoretic framework above. The obtained results are relevant, as they provide a line to model real life, e.g., financial and medical, decisions that show the same empirical patterns as the two-urn experiment.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1811.00875