摘要翻译：
畜牧业容易受到疾病的威胁，这可能会造成数十亿美元的损失，并产生重大的负面社会影响。通过更多地使用与疾病有关的生物安全做法，减少了损失，使加强生物安全成为一个行业目标。目前，没有关于疾病发病率或现场生物安全战略信息共享的全行业标准，导致疾病流行率和行业利益攸关方采用的生物安全战略方面的不确定性。通过一个实验模拟游戏，我们考察了人类参与者在面对疾病爆发情景时对生物安全的投资意愿。我们通过改变提供的关于1）疾病发病率和2）生物安全战略或生产设施对疾病威胁的反应的信息来改变场景。在这里，我们发现投资于生物安全的意愿随着疾病发病率信息的增加而增加，但随着附近设施使用的生物安全做法信息的增加而减少。因此，决策者面临的不确定性类型或背景可能是影响行为的主要因素。我们的发现表明，鼓励更多地分享疾病发病率信息的政策和做法应该对保护群体健康有最大的好处。
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英文标题：
《Decision-making in Livestock Biosecurity Practices amidst Environmental
  and Social Uncertainty: Evidence from an Experimental Game》
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作者：
Scott C. Merrill (1), Christopher J. Koliba (2), Susan M. Moegenburg
  (1), Asim Zia (2), Jason Parker (3), Timothy Sellnow (4), Serge Wiltshire
  (5), Gabriela Bucini (1), Caitlin Danehy (6), and Julia M. Smith (6) ((1)
  Department of Plant and Soil Science, University of Vermont, (2) Department
  of Community Development and Applied Economics, University of Vermont, (3)
  School of Environment and Natural Resources, The Ohio State University at
  Mansfield, (4) Nicholson School of Communication, University of Central
  Florida, (5) Department of Food Systems. University of Vermont, (6)
  Department of Animal and Veterinary Sciences, University of Vermont)
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最新提交年份：
2019
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分类信息：

一级分类：Economics        经济学
二级分类：General Economics        一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类：Economics        经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要：
  Livestock industries are vulnerable to disease threats, which can cost billions of dollars and have substantial negative social ramifications. Losses are mitigated through increased use of disease-related biosecurity practices, making increased biosecurity an industry goal. Currently, there is no industry-wide standard for sharing information about disease incidence or on-site biosecurity strategies, resulting in uncertainty regarding disease prevalence and biosecurity strategies employed by industry stakeholders. Using an experimental simulation game, we examined human participant's willingness to invest in biosecurity when confronted with disease outbreak scenarios. We varied the scenarios by changing the information provided about 1) disease incidence and 2) biosecurity strategy or response by production facilities to the threat of disease. Here we show that willingness to invest in biosecurity increases with increased information about disease incidence, but decreases with increased information about biosecurity practices used by nearby facilities. Thus, the type or context of the uncertainty confronting the decision maker may be a major factor influencing behavior. Our findings suggest that policies and practices that encourage greater sharing of disease incidence information should have the greatest benefit for protecting herd health.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1811.01081