摘要翻译:
我们在一个基本的SIS模型中分析了疾病预防和治疗的最优控制。我们发展了一个简单的宏观经济结构,在这个结构中,社会规划者决定如何通过所得税进行最优干预,以最大限度地减少流行病传播的社会成本,包括感染和经济成本。这种疾病通过减少从事生产活动的劳动力规模降低了经济生产,从而降低了收入,从而收紧了经济的总体资源约束。我们考虑一个框架,在这个框架中,规划者使用征收的税收来干预预防(旨在降低感染率)或治疗(旨在提高康复速度)。最佳的预防和治疗政策都允许经济在长期内实现无疾病平衡,但它们的相关费用在过渡动态路径上有很大不同。通过量化与预防和治疗相关的社会成本,我们确定了在不同情况下哪种政策最具成本效益,表明只要感染率低(高),预防(治疗)是可取的。
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英文标题:
《Optimal Control of Prevention and Treatment in a Basic
Macroeconomic-Epidemiological Model》
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作者:
Davide La Torre, Tufail Malik, Simone Marsiglio
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最新提交年份:
2019
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Theoretical Economics 理论经济学
分类描述:Includes theoretical contributions to Contract Theory, Decision Theory, Game Theory, General Equilibrium, Growth, Learning and Evolution, Macroeconomics, Market and Mechanism Design, and Social Choice.
包括对契约理论、决策理论、博弈论、一般均衡、增长、学习与进化、宏观经济学、市场与机制设计、社会选择的理论贡献。
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一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述:General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:Economics 经济学
分类描述:q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学,包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要:
We analyze the optimal control of disease prevention and treatment in a basic SIS model. We develop a simple macroeconomic setup in which the social planner determines how to optimally intervene, through income taxation, in order to minimize the social cost, inclusive of infection and economic costs, of the spread of an epidemic disease. The disease lowers economic production and thus income by reducing the size of the labor force employed in productive activities, tightening thus the economy's overall resources constraint. We consider a framework in which the planner uses the collected tax revenue to intervene in either prevention (aimed at reducing the rate of infection) or treatment (aimed at increasing the speed of recovery). Both optimal prevention and treatment policies allow the economy to achieve a disease-free equilibrium in the long run but their associated costs are substantially different along the transitional dynamic path. By quantifying the social costs associated with prevention and treatment we determine which policy is most cost-effective under different circumstances, showing that prevention (treatment) is desirable whenever the infectivity rate is low (high).
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1910.03383