摘要翻译：
我们通过承认这些服务的接收时间的不确定性来形式化移动按需(MoD)系统的可靠性的一个方面。本研究回答了两个关键问题：（一）规定的和实际的接送时间之间的差异如何影响乘客选择MoD服务的倾向？（二）MoD服务提供商如何利用这些信息来增加乘客数量？我们在纽约进行了一个离散选择实验来回答前一个问题，并采用基于微观模拟的优化方法来回答后一个问题。在我们的实验中，通过策略性地显示预测的等待时间，一个MoD服务的乘客数量可以增加10%。
---
英文标题：
《Can Mobility-on-Demand services do better after discerning reliability
  preferences of riders?》
---
作者：
Prateek Bansal, Yang Liu, Ricardo Daziano, Samitha Samaranayake
---
最新提交年份：
2019
---
分类信息：

一级分类：Economics        经济学
二级分类：General Economics        一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
--
一级分类：Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类：Economics        经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
--

---
英文摘要：
  We formalize one aspect of reliability in the context of Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems by acknowledging the uncertainty in the pick-up time of these services. This study answers two key questions: i) how the difference between the stated and actual pick-up times affect the propensity of a passenger to choose an MoD service? ii) how an MoD service provider can leverage this information to increase its ridership? We conduct a discrete choice experiment in New York to answer the former question and adopt a micro-simulation-based optimization method to answer the latter question. In our experiments, the ridership of an MoD service could be increased by up to 10\% via displaying the predicted wait time strategically.
---
PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1904.07987