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2022-03-21
摘要翻译:
我们表明,世界贸易网络数据集包含经验证据,表明世界经济中创新的动态确实遵循J.A.提出的创造性破坏的概念。半个多世纪前的熊彼特。国家经济可以被视为复杂的、不断发展的系统,由商品和服务的出现和消失所驱动。产品以阵阵创意级联的形式出现。我们发现,产品系统地趋向于共同出现,产品的出现导致现有产品在接下来的几年中大规模的消失事件。相反的情况--失踪后出现一段时间--没有观察到。这是对国家经济规模上的连锁竞争替代事件的支配性的经验验证,即创造性破坏。我们发现一种趋势,即更复杂的产品驱逐不太复杂的产品,即进步是有方向的。最后,我们证明了一个国家产品产出多样性的增长轨迹可以用最近提出的熊彼特经济动力学演化模型来理解。
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英文标题:
《Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data》
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作者:
Peter Klimek, Ricardo Hausmann, Stefan Thurner
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最新提交年份:
2011
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分类信息:

一级分类:Physics        物理学
二级分类:Physics and Society        物理学与社会
分类描述:Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体(人类或其他)的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统(如能源网、运输网络)的物理和工程。
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一级分类:Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类:General Finance        一般财务
分类描述:Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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英文摘要:
  We show that world trade network datasets contain empirical evidence that the dynamics of innovation in the world economy follows indeed the concept of creative destruction, as proposed by J.A. Schumpeter more than half a century ago. National economies can be viewed as complex, evolving systems, driven by a stream of appearance and disappearance of goods and services. Products appear in bursts of creative cascades. We find that products systematically tend to co-appear, and that product appearances lead to massive disappearance events of existing products in the following years. The opposite - disappearances followed by periods of appearances - is not observed. This is an empirical validation of the dominance of cascading competitive replacement events on the scale of national economies, i.e. creative destruction. We find a tendency that more complex products drive out less complex ones, i.e. progress has a direction. Finally we show that the growth trajectory of a country's product output diversity can be understood by a recently proposed evolutionary model of Schumpeterian economic dynamics.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1112.2984
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