英文标题:
《Supervised classification-based stock prediction and portfolio
  optimization》
---
作者:
Sercan Arik, Sukru Burc Eryilmaz, Adam Goldberg
---
最新提交年份:
2014
---
英文摘要:
  As the number of publicly traded companies as well as the amount of their financial data grows rapidly, it is highly desired to have tracking, analysis, and eventually stock selections automated. There have been few works focusing on estimating the stock prices of individual companies. However, many of those have worked with very small number of financial parameters. In this work, we apply machine learning techniques to address automated stock picking, while using a larger number of financial parameters for individual companies than the previous studies. Our approaches are based on the supervision of prediction parameters using company fundamentals, time-series properties, and correlation information between different stocks. We examine a variety of supervised learning techniques and found that using stock fundamentals is a useful approach for the classification problem, when combined with the high dimensional data handling capabilities of support vector machine. The portfolio our system suggests by predicting the behavior of stocks results in a 3% larger growth on average than the overall market within a 3-month time period, as the out-of-sample test suggests. 
---
中文摘要:
随着上市公司的数量及其财务数据量的快速增长,人们迫切希望跟踪、分析并最终实现股票选择的自动化。很少有研究专注于估算单个公司的股价。然而,其中许多人的财务参数非常少。在这项工作中,我们应用
机器学习技术来解决自动选股问题,同时对单个公司使用了比之前研究更多的财务参数。我们的方法基于使用公司基本面、时间序列特性和不同股票之间的相关性信息对预测参数的监督。我们研究了各种监督学习技术,发现当与支持向量机的高维数据处理能力相结合时,使用股票基本面是解决分类问题的有用方法。正如样本外测试所显示的那样,我们的系统通过预测股票行为所显示的投资组合,在3个月内的平均增长率比整个市场高出3%。
---
分类信息:
一级分类:Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类:Statistical Finance        统计金融
分类描述:Statistical, econometric and econophysics analyses with applications to financial markets and economic data
统计、计量经济学和经济物理学分析及其在金融市场和经济数据中的应用
--
一级分类:Computer Science        计算机科学
二级分类:Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science        计算工程、金融和科学
分类描述:Covers applications of computer science to the mathematical modeling of complex systems in the fields of science, engineering, and finance. Papers here are interdisciplinary and applications-oriented, focusing on techniques and tools that enable challenging computational simulations to be performed, for which the use of supercomputers or distributed computing platforms is often required. Includes material in ACM Subject Classes J.2, J.3, and J.4 (economics).
涵盖了计算机科学在科学、工程和金融领域复杂系统的数学建模中的应用。这里的论文是跨学科和面向应用的,集中在技术和工具,使挑战性的计算模拟能够执行,其中往往需要使用超级计算机或分布式计算平台。包括ACM学科课程J.2、J.3和J.4(经济学)中的材料。
--
一级分类:Computer Science        计算机科学
二级分类:Machine Learning        机器学习
分类描述:Papers on all aspects of machine learning research (supervised, unsupervised, reinforcement learning, bandit problems, and so on) including also robustness, explanation, fairness, and methodology. cs.LG is also an appropriate primary category for applications of machine learning methods.
关于机器学习研究的所有方面的论文(有监督的,无监督的,强化学习,强盗问题,等等),包括健壮性,解释性,公平性和方法论。对于机器学习方法的应用,CS.LG也是一个合适的主要类别。
--
一级分类:Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类:Portfolio Management        项目组合管理
分类描述:Security selection and optimization, capital allocation, investment strategies and performance measurement
证券选择与优化、资本配置、投资策略与绩效评价
--
一级分类:Statistics        统计学
二级分类:Machine Learning        机器学习
分类描述:Covers machine learning papers (supervised, unsupervised, semi-supervised learning, graphical models, reinforcement learning, bandits, high dimensional inference, etc.) with a statistical or theoretical grounding
覆盖机器学习论文(监督,无监督,半监督学习,图形模型,强化学习,强盗,高维推理等)与统计或理论基础
--
---
PDF下载:
-->