US President Obama's administration is set to be rocked by scandal, according to one political scientist's mathematical formula, the Daily Mail of London reported. Brendan Nyhan, a scholar at the University of Michigan, presented detailed graphs illustrating the likelihood of a scandal to unfold before the 2012 presidential election with the probability rising between 95-100% by June of next year. He tested his hypotheses on scandal coverage data from the Washington Post and chronologies of presidential events covered by the New York Times.
据英国《每日邮报》报道，一名政治科学家日前大胆预测，根据他的公式推算，奥巴马政权不久将身陷重大丑闻。美国密歇根大学的学者布伦丹-尼汉通过图表等数据论证，从现在起至2012年美国大选前的6月，奥巴马身陷丑闻的几率将增加95%-100%。他对《华盛顿邮报》对多位美国总统任期内发生丑闻的报道以及《纽约时报》的总统大师年表进行假设检验，最终得出这一结论。