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Italy and the euro On the edge
Jul 14th 2011 | from the print edition(The Economist)
By engulfing Italy, the euro crisis has entered a perilous new phase—with the single currency itself now at risk.
FOR more than a year the euro zone’s debt drama has lurched from one nail-biting scene to another. First Greece took centre stage; then Ireland; then Portugal; then Greece again. Each time European policymakers reacted similarly: with denial and dithering, followed at the eleventh hour with a half-baked rescue plan to buy time.
This week the shortcomings of this muddling-through were laid bare . Financial markets turned on Italy, the euro zone’s third-biggest economy, with alarming speed. Yields on ten-year Italian bonds jumped by almost a percentage point in two trading days: on July 12th they breached 6%, their highest since the euro was created. The Milan stockmarket slumped to its lowest in two years. Though bond yields subsequently fell back, the debt crisis has clearly entered a new phase. No longer confined to the small peripheral economies of Greece, Ireland and Portugal, it has hurdled over Spain, supposedly next in line, and reached one of the euro zone’s giants. All its members, but especially Germany, face a stark choice.
Consider the stakes. Italy has the biggest sovereign-debt market in Europe and the third-biggest in the world. It has the biggest sovereign-debt market in Europe and the third-biggest in the world. It has