【案例名称】Uncertainty: How to Think About and Act on Uncertainties Affecting Your Decision

【作者】John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, Howard Raiffa

【页数】27

【格式】PDF

【语言】英语

【出版日期】1999年1月1日

【学科】管理学 (General Management)

【案例编号】7961BC-PDF-ENG

【来源】Harvard Business Press Chapters

【网页】http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/7961BC-PDF-ENG

【简介】

Situations will arise in which you won't know what the consequences will be until after deciding. This chapter looks at one of the keys to effective decision making: confronting uncertainty, judging the likelihood of different outcomes and assessing their possible impacts.

【学习目标】

To help you clarify your uncertainties and take calculated risks.

【涉及课题】

Decision making; Goal setting; Managing uncertainty; Probability; Problem solving; Risk; Tradeoff analysis

【下载】

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