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2013-10-24
UBS Asian Equity Research - Morning Ratings & Earnings (23 Oct 13)
Morning_Expresso_Oct_23.pdf
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Global and Asia Economics & Strategy
----------------------------
* Macro Keys - Can China Expect An Export Recovery as Usual?; Tao Wang;
* Asia Equity Strategy - Asia Inc.; Niall MacLeod;
* US Economic Comment - Soft employment ahead of the shutdown; Maury N.
Harris;

UBS Global I/O(r) & UBS Global Signals(tm)
----------------------------
* UBS Global Signals(tm) Displays / LCD - 2H Oct Panel prices: The TV slump
  continues; Nicolas Gaudois;

UBS Initiates
----------------------------
* CapitaMalls Asia (CMAL.SI) - Buy (from Not Rated); PT 2.35 (from -);
+18%  upside Retailer to Asia's booming middle class;

Today's Rating changes
----------------------------
* Lotte Chemical (011170.KS) - Neutral (from Buy); PT 224000 (unch); +3% upside
  Downgrade post 70% share price rally;
* China Mobile (HK) Ltd (0941.HK) - Sell (from Neutral); PT 72 (from 84); -12%
  downside Downgrade to Sell, lower PT to HK$72.00;
* ZTE Corporation (0763.HK) - Buy (UR) (from Buy); PT 18 (unch); -1% downside
  Margin improving but revenue still weak;

Chinese coal sector
----------------------------
* Chinese coal sector - Looming supply to cap price recovery; Ghee Peh;
* China Coal Energy (1898.HK) - Sell (from Neutral); PT 4.62 (from 4.15); -4%
  downside Stretched valuation, d/g to Sell
* Yanzhou Coal Mining (1171.HK) - Sell (unch); PT 4.73 (from 4.39); -41%
  downside Inflection point yet to come, Sell
* Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal (3948.HK) - Neutral (unch); PT 16.37 (from 18.79);
  +9% upside Limited profit driver, maintain Neutral;
* Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery (0564.HK) - Buy (unch); PT 6.99 (from 6.73);
  +44% upside Beneficiary of limited capex cut, Buy;

Chinese wind power operators
----------------------------
* Chinese wind power operators - Renewable subsidy becomes unsustainable;
  Stephen Oldfield;
* China Longyuan Power Group (0916.HK) - Sell (from Buy); PT 8.9 (unch); -3%
  downside Downgrade to Sell
* Huadian Fuxin Energy Corporation (0816.HK) - Buy (unch); PT 3 (from 2.8); +15%
  upside Preferred clean energy stock
* China Datang Corporation Renewable Power (1798.HK) - Buy (unch); PT
2.1 (unch); +22% upside Factoring in wind power tariff cut

Today's PT Changes
----------------------------
* Angang Steel (0347.HK) - Neutral (CBE) (unch); PT 4.5 (from 4); -5% downside
  Further margin improvement hard; Neutral;
* Zhejiang Beingmate Scientific Industrial (002570.SZ) - Buy (unch); PT
60 (from 43); +35% upside Market share may rise further, lift PT to 60;
* Lupin Limited (LUPN.BO) - Buy (unch); PT 1100 (from 950); +20% upside Antara
  Returns;
* Daelim Industrial Company (000210.KS) - Buy (unch); PT 125000 (from 100000);
  +15% upside Firm Q3 and restructuring positive;
* Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCRT.SI) - Neutral (unch); PT 1.97 (from 2); +7%
  upside Changi acquisition to drive FY14 growth;
* Huaneng Power International (0902.HK) - Buy (unch); PT 10.6 (from 9.7); +21%
  upside Stronger than expected Q3 results;
* YES Bank (YESB.BO) - Buy (unch); PT 440 (from 405); +18% upside NPL rising but
  not hiding into restructuring;
* Rallis India (RALL.BO) - Buy (unch); PT 200 (from 170); +24% upside Growth
  returns; Buy;

Company Update
----------------------------
* Krung Thai Bank (KTB.BK) - Buy (unch); PT 25.6 (unch); +25% upside
Q313 net profit below expectations;
* Shenzhen Gas (601139.SS) - Buy (unch); PT 9.82 (unch); +13% upside Q3 earnings
  miss slightly; gas-fired power tariff hikes may be positive;
* China Overseas Land & Investment (0688.HK) - Buy (unch); PT 26.51 (unch); +10%
  upside YT Q313 operating margin was worse than expected;
* Beijing Capital Development (600376.SS) - Buy (unch); PT 7.14 (unch);
+30%   upside Q313 net profit in line; sales may improve gradually;
* Shenzhen MTC Co Ltd (002429.SZ) - Buy (unch); PT 16 (unch); +11% upside Q3
  results lower than expected, ongoing collaboration with Wasu;
* Halla Visteon Climate Control (018880.KS) - Neutral (unch); PT 44000 (unch);
  +12% upside Analyst day takeaways;
* China Shipping Development (1138.HK) - Neutral (unch); PT 4.97 (unch);
+16% upside Domestic shipping rate's big catch up rally;
* Public Bank (PUBMe.KL) - Buy (unch); PT 21.8 (unch); +18% upside Strength in
  SME shines through;
* Wipro Ltd. (WIPR.BO) - Buy (unch); PT 560 (unch); +9% upside 2Q revenue in
  line, margins beats estimate;
* Cairn India Limited (CAIL.BO) - Buy (unch); PT 435 (unch); +31% upside
  Positive drilling + reserve accretion updates in 2H;

Sector Note
----------------------------
* HK China Property Morning Post  - Great Eagle acquired an office building in
  San Francisco; Eva Lee;
* China White Goods  - Domestic and overseas A/C sales show double-digit growth
  in September; Xinyu Liao;
* Asia Oil Explorer - WTI crude oil price below US$100/bbl; Peter Gastreich;
* Chinese Mining Sector - Q3 earnings: trough, small rebound Q4; Ghee Peh;

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