Global and Asia Economics & Strategy
---------------------------------
* Macro Keys - Economics and immigration; Paul Donovan;
* US Economic Comment - Good September nonauto retailsales, but weak
October consumerconfidence; Maury N. Harris;
* China A-Share Strategy - SOE reform, a long-term topic;Qin Xia;
* China H-share Strategy - SOE reform breakthroughs andimplications; Niall
MacLeod;
* Asian Economic Comment - India: RBI policy back tonormal, almost; Edward
Teather;
* India Market Strategy - Q2 earnings half-time: Positivesurprise ; Gautam
Chhaochharia;
* Japan Economic Comment - Japanese economic outlook for2014-2015;
Daiju Aoki ;
Alpha Preferences
---------------------------------
* Asia Banks - Alpha Preferences; Stephen Andrews;
* Korea - Alpha Preferences; Young Chang;
Taiwan Telecom Sector
---------------------------------
* Taiwan Telecom Sector - 4G implications for Taiwantelcos; Jinjin Wang;
* Taiwan Mobile (3045.TW) - Buy (from Neutral); PT NT$106(from NT$109);
+12% upsideUpgrade to Buy post recent weakness;
* Far EasTone (4904.TW) - Buy (from Neutral); PT NT$70(from NT$72); +12%
upside Upgrade toBuy rating
* Chunghwa Telecom (2412.TW) - Neutral (unch); PT NT$95(unch); +2%
upside Leastaffected by LTE
Indonesian Nickel
---------------------------------
* Indonesian Nickel - Downgrading ratings post shareprice rally; Anubhav
Gupta;
* Antam (ANTM.JK) - Sell (from Buy); PT Rp1590 (unch);+3% upside ;
* Vale Indonesia (INCO.JK) - Sell (from Neutral); PTRp2200 (unch); -12%
downside
Today's PT changes
---------------------------------
* Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical (600521.SS) - Buy(unch); PT Rmb16 (from
Rmb18); +30%upside Going through transformation pains, but no impact on
long-termprospects;
* Beijing Oriental Yuhong Waterproof (002271.SZ) - Buy(unch); PT Rmb33
(from Rmb31);+22% upside Q3 earnings overshoot expectations again; we
are liftingearnings estimates and PT;
* China Oilfield Services - A (601808.SS) - Buy (unch);PT Rmb25.7 (from
Rmb20); +15%upside New vessel fundamentals remain solid, high utilisation
rate boostedgross margin;
* China Oilfield Services (2883.HK) - Neutral (unch); PTHK$23.5 (from
HK$17.5); +10%upside Raise our EPS on strong drilling segment;
* Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818.HK) - Buy (unch); PTHK$7.22 (from HK$7.62);
+14% upsideBetter Q4, attractive valuation;
* Haitong Securities - H (6837.HK) - Neutral (unch); PTHK$12.2 (from
HK$11.6); +7%upside Q3 suggests consensus upgrade to come;
* Swire Pacific (0019.HK) - Sell (unch); PT HK$84.4 (fromHK$86.2); -6%
downside Q3operating statement;
* Standard Chartered (2888.HK) - Buy (unch); PT HK$210(from HK$215);
+12% upsideRevenue momentum still subdued ;
* Shriram Transport Finance (SRTR.BO) - Neutral (unch);PT Rs640 (from
Rs680); +12%upside AUM growth sustains but margins decline continues;
* Omron (6645.T) - Buy (unch); PT ¥4600 (from ¥4300);+27% upside Omron's
improvedmanagerial capabilities are not yet priced in;
* Hitachi (6501.T) - Buy (unch); PT ¥850 (from ¥900);+27% upside Still stalled;
* SK Telecom (017670.KS) - Buy (unch); PT Won270000 (fromWon253000);
+14% upside Q313results in line; reaffirm Buy rating;
* Shinhan Financial Group (055550.KS) - Neutral (unch);PT Won48000 (from
Won41000); +2%upside Q313 earnings missed estimates;
* SK Hynix (000660.KS) - Buy (unch); PT Won44000 (fromWon41000); +38%
upside Forget thetrees, look at the forest;
* Flexium Interconnect (6269.TW) - Neutral (unch); PTNT$100 (from NT$105);
+9% upside Noearnings growth in 2014E on diminishing return;
Company Update
---------------------------------
* China Auto Research Institute (601965.SS) - Buy (unch);PT Rmb12 (unch);
+20% upsideResults growth in line; the quality of the growth exceeded
expectations;
* China Merchants Holdings (0144.HK) - Buy (unch); PTHK$32 (unch); +15%
upside 10%increase of listed assets in Q313;
* China National Chemical Engineering (601117.SS) - Buy(unch); PT Rmb10.9
(unch); +53%upside In-line results, progress on construction likely to
accelerategradually;
* Dalian Port (PDA) (2880.HK) - Buy (unch); PT HK$2.5(unch); +41% upside
Q313 growthremain strong;
* Datang International Power (0991.HK) - Buy (unch); PTHK$4.8 (unch); +38%
upside Q3 resultsbetter than expected;
* Gold Mantis Construction Decoration (002081.SZ) - Buy(unch); PT Rmb33.5
(unch); +65%upside Results in line, reiterate positive view on long-term
growth prospects;
* Guangshen Railway (0525.HK) - Buy (unch); PT HK$5.07(unch); +24%
upside Q313results is disappointing;
* Guangxi Liugong Machinery (000528.SZ) - Buy (unch); PTRmb8.8 (unch);
+35% upsideProfitability has continued to improve;
* Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology (300335.SZ) - Buy(unch); PT
Rmb21.1 (unch);+14% upside Q3 recurring net profit largely flat YoY and
QoQ;
* Hand Enterprise Solutions (300170.SZ) - Buy (unch); PTRmb24.6 (unch);
+56% upsideEarnings grew fast in Q3;
* PetroChina (0857.HK) - Buy (unch); PT HK$11.9 (unch);+34% upside Solid
earnings recoveryin Q313;
* Poly Real Estate (600048.SS) - Buy (unch); PT Rmb15.6(unch); +71%
upside New startsgrew strongly, likely to ease the available-for-sale housing
bottleneck;
* Pubang Landscape Architecture (002663.SZ) - Buy (unch);PT Rmb19.7
(unch); +36%upside Results in line, ample cash at hand;
* Shandong Nanshan Aluminium (600219.SS) - Buy (unch); PTRmb5.84
(unch); +14%upside Q3 results in line, focusing on LME storage policy
reform;
* Shanghai Pharmaceuticals - A (601607.SS) - Buy (unch);PT Rmb18 (unch);
+30% upsideSteady growth, key businesses doing well;
* Sinopec (0386.HK) - Buy (unch); PT HK$7.6 (unch); +25%upside Q313 is
2nd best netprofit on record;
* Weichai Power - A (000338.SZ) - Buy (unch); PT Rmb27.5(unch); +47%
upside Earningsgrowth lower than expected, but valuation below the
historicalaverage;
* Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services (002353.SZ) - Buy(unch); PT Rmb90 (unch);
+22% upside Q3results in line, gross margin picked up;
* Zhongjin Gold (600489.SS) - Buy (unch); PT Rmb12.04(unch); +31% upside
Q3 results camein lower than expected due to declining gold prices;
* China Coal Energy - A (601898.SS) - Neutral (unch); PTRmb5.5 (unch);
+10% upside 9M13NP down 54% YoY, slightly lower than expected;
* China International Marine Containers (2039.HK) -Neutral (unch); PT
HK$13.6 (unch);-3% downside Q313 result weaker than expectation;
* China Shipping Container Lines (2866.HK) - Neutral(unch); PT HK$2.14
(unch); +8%upside Q3 loss is disappointing;
* China Shipping Development (1138.HK) - Neutral (unch);PT HK$4.97 (unch);
+15% upside Q313loss narrowed, better Q4 outlook;
* Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate (002244.SZ) - Neutral(unch); PT Rmb9.06
(unch); +15%upside Booked net profit down 9% YoY, but funding position
improved further;
* Jiangsu Yuyue Medical Equipment & Supply(002223.SZ) - Neutral (unch);
PT Rmb23.4(unch); +2% upside Increasing investment into hospitals; profit
growth slows;
* People.cn (603000.SS) - Neutral (unch); PT Rmb73.1(unch); +8% upside Q3
profit growthslower;
* Shenzhen GEM High-Tech (002340.SZ) - Neutral (unch); PTRmb11.9 (unch);
+15% upside Q3results in line; a private placement is planned, entering the
scrapped carfield;
* Shenzhen Hongtao Decoration (002325.SZ) - Neutral(unch); PT Rmb13
(unch); +37%upside Results in line, plan to issue shares to address capital
bottleneck ;
* Sound Environmental Resources (000826.SZ) - Neutral(unch); PT Rmb34.9
(unch); 0% downsideNo asset impairment accrued, resulting in QoQ net
profit growth inQ3;
* Air China (0753.HK) - Sell (unch); PT HK$5.37 (unch);-1% downside Q3
earnings down33%, in line with UBSe;
* China CITIC Bank (0998.HK) - Sell (unch); PT HK$3.8(unch); -8% downside
Q3 NP beat;sustainability yet to be seen;
* Standard Chartered (STAN.L) - Buy (unch); PT p1790(unch); +18% upside
Resilientperformance in a weak revenue quarter;
* Esprit (0330.HK) - Buy (unch); PT HK$15.8 (unch); +21%upside FY14 off to
a solid start;new CPO;
* Lifestyle International (1212.HK) - Buy (unch); PTHK$26 (unch); +55%
upside In searchof a replacement site;
* Swire Properties (1972.HK) - Neutral (unch); PT HK$22.4(unch); +6% upside
Flattish officerents and sluggish HK malls' retail sales;
* Semen Indonesia (SMGR.JK) - Buy (unch); PT Rp15800(unch); +10%
upside Weak 3Q2013 result;
* JSW Steel (JSTL.BO) - Buy (unch); PT Rs1000 (unch);+16% upside Volume
driven EBITDAbeat;
* National Thermal Power Corporation Ltd. (NTPC.BO) - Buy(unch); PT Rs190
(unch); +30%upside Q2 FY14 results: In-line;
* Marico Ltd (MRCO.BO) - Neutral (unch); PT Rs240 (unch);+14% upside Q2
FY14 review;
* Ranbaxy (RANB.BO) - Neutral (unch); PT Rs500 (unch);+30% upside
Q3FY14 - Belowest. despite adjusting for one-offs;
* Fanuc (6954.T) - Sell (unch); PT ¥11500 (unch); -29%downside Strong
business model isat a turning point;
* DGB Financial Group (139130.KS) - Buy (unch); PTWon22000 (unch); +32%
upside Q313results - higher provisioning;
* Hyundai Mobis (012330.KS) - Buy (unch); PT Won340000(unch); +12%
upside Q3earnings in line with consensus;
* PTT Exploration & Production (PTTE.BK) - Buy(unch); PT Bt190 (unch);
+12% upside Q3results and conference call feedback;
* Far EasTone (4904.TW) - Buy (unch); PT NT$70 (unch);+12% upside
YTD13 largelyin-line;
* Apple Inc. (AAPL.O) - Neutral (unch); PT US$540 (unch);+2%
upside SolidQuarter and Outlook;
Sector note
---------------------------------
* China Cement Sector - Robust peak season, East/SouthCentral price rises
likely tocontinue in November; Qiang Liu;
* HK China Property Morning Post - CKH disposes 6.03%share in ARA for
~HK$550m; EvaLee;
* India Banking & Finance Sector - RBI Q2 policy -Liquidity easing continues;
Vishal Goyal;
* Hyundai Mobis - To buy back all pref shares; YoungChang;
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