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2004-11-14
英文文献:Forecasting with Option Implied Information
英文文献作者:Peter Christoffersen,Kris Jacobs,Bo Young Chang
英文文献摘要:
This chapter surveys the methods available for extracting forward-looking information from option prices. We consider volatility, skewness, kurtosis, and density forecasting. More generally, we discuss how any forecasting object which is a twice differentiable function of the future realization of the underlying risky asset price can utilize option implied information in a well-defi?ned manner. Going beyond the univariate option-implied density, we also consider results on option-implied covariance, correlation and beta forecasting as well as the use of option-implied information in cross-sectional forecasting of equity returns.
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