GLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK For Photovoltaics 2014-2018


TABLE OF CONTENTS
Foreword 5
1. INTRODUCTION 8
2. METHODOLOGY AND SCENARIOS 12
    1. Installations and connections 14
    2. The role of off-grid installations 14
    3. AC-DC numbers: Counting comparable numbers 15
3. MARKET EVOLUTION 16
   A. Historical PV market development 17
      1. World cumulative installed capacity 17
      2. World PV market development 18
      3. European market development 21
  B. The market in Europe in 2013 and the forecast until 2018 25
      1. Relevant European markets in 2013 25
      2. Segmentation 28
      3. Forecasts of PV in Europe until 2018 30
      4. 2020 potential and targets in the EU 33
      5. Medium-term scenario for 2030: How much can PV contribute to a binding 2030 target? 35
      6. Support schemes in Europe and prospects for PV 36
  C. The global market in 2013 and the forecast until 2018 37
   1. Global PV market growth 37
   2. Global PV capacity 38
   3. Forecasts until 2018 39
   4. Forecasts per segment 43
   5. Future prospects for market development 46
4. PHOTOVOLTAICS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR 48
  A. Positioning PV in the electricity generations mix 49
   1. PV positioning in 2013 49  
   2. Historical PV positioning 51
   3. Share of PV in the EU 28 52
   4. PV and the electricity system 53
   5. CONCLUSION 54
Glossary 56

List of figures and tables 57