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2015-03-23
An equity analyst is forecasting the next year’s net profit margin of a heavy equipment manufacturing firm, by using the average net profit margin over the past three years.  In making his profit projection, he is concerned about the following three items:
1.  The company suffered losses from discontinued operations in each of the past three years.
2.  The most recent year’s tax rate was only one half the prior two years’ rate as a result of a fiscal stimulus.
3. The company experienced gains on the sale of investments in each of the past three years
Which of the following statements about the preparation of the forecast is most accurate?
The analyst would:
A.  use the most recent tax rate because that is the best predictor of future tax rates.
B.  exclude the gains on the sale from investments because the company is a manufacturing firm.
C.  include the discontinued operations because they appear to be an on-going feature for this company.
这个题目B可以理解,但是A和C为什么不能选?
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2015-3-26 10:33:37
"A.最近一期的税率并不能代表以后的平均税率;
C.discontinued operations属于非经常性项目,因此不能在短期分析(对下一年)中考虑进去,虽然连续三年都有loss,但并不能说明它是一个经常性项目。B是最佳选项,因为投资收入不是主营业务收入,净利润率计算如果包含了这一部分就会有误导。"
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