以下是引用jerry在2005-8-16 21:07:19的发言: CHAPTER 1 Uncertainty, Randomness and Creation of New Knowledge 1. Uncertainty, and its quantification 2. Randomness and random numbers 3. From determinism to order in disorder 4. Randomness and creativity References APPENDIX: Discussion A.l Chance and chaos A.2 Creativity A.3 Chance and necessity A.4 Ambiguity I AS Are decimal digits in ?r random? CHAPTER 2 Taming of Uncertainty - Evolution of Statistics 1. Early history: statistics as data 2. Taming of uncertainty 3. Future of statistics CHAPTER 3 Principles and Strategies of Data Analysis: Cross Examination of Data 1. Historical developments in data analysis 2. Cross-examination of data 3. Meta analysis 4. Inferential data analysis and concluding remarks CHAPTER 4 Weighted Distributions - Data with Built-in Bias 1. Specification 2. Truncation 3. Weighted distributions 4. P.P.s. sampling 5. Weighted binomial distribution: empirical theorems 6. Alcoholism, family size and birth order 7. Waiting time paradox 8. Damage models References CHAPTER 5 Statistics: An Inevitable Instrument in Search of Truth 1. Statistics and truth 2. Some examples 2.1 Shakespeare’s poem: an ode to statistics 2.2 Disputed authorship: the Federalist papers 2.3 Kautilya and the ArthaShtra 2.4 Dating of publications 2.5 Seriation of Plato’s works 2.6 Filiation of manuscripts 2.7 The language tree 2.8 Geological time scale 2.9 Common breeding ground of eels 2.10 Are acquired characteristics inherited? 2.11 The importance of being left-handed 2.12 Circadian rhythm 2.13 Disputed paternity 2.14 Salt in statistics 2.15 Economy in blood testing 2.16 Machine building factories to increase food 2.17 The missing decimal numbers 2.18 The Rhesus factor: a study in scientific 2.19 Family size, birth order and I.Q. production research References CHAPTER 6 Public Understanding of Statistics: Learning from Numbers 1. Science for all 2. Data, information and knowledge 3. Information revolution and understanding of statistics 4. Mournful numbers 5. Weather forecasting 6. Public opinion polls 7. Superstition and psychosomatic processes 8. Statistics and the law 9. ESP and amazing coincidences 10. Spreading statistical numeracy 11. Statistics as a key technology References APPENDIX Srinivasa Ramanujan - a rare phenomenon Index 187
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