国际货币基金组织2009年4月22日出版的《世界经济展望：危机与恢复》

目录如下：

Assumptions and Conventions v
Preface vii
Joint Foreword to World Economic Outlook and Global Financial Stability Report viii
Executive Summary xi
Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies 1
How Did Things Get So Bad, So Fast? 1
Short-Term Prospects Are Precarious 8
Medium-Term Prospects beyond the Crisis 27
Policies to End the Crisis while Paving the Way to Sustained Recovery 32
Appendix 1.1. Commodity Market Developments and Prospects 44
Appendix 1.2. Fan Chart for Global Growth 55
Appendix 1.3. Assumptions behind the Downside Scenario 58
References 60
Chapter 2. Country and Regional Perspectives 63
The United States Is Grappling with the Financial Core of the Crisis 63
Asia Is Struggling to Rebalance Growth from External to Domestic Sources 71
Europe Is Searching for a Coherent Policy Response 75
The CIS Economies Are Suffering a Triple Blow 84
Other Advanced Economies Are Dealing with Adverse Terms-of-Trade Shocks 86
Latin America and the Caribbean Face Growing Pressures 87
Middle Eastern Economies Are Buffering Global Shocks 91
Hard-Won Economic Gains in Africa Are Being Threatened 93
References 95
Supplemental Tables: Key Macroeconomic Projections, by Region 97
Chapter 3. From Recession to Recovery: How Soon and How Strong?
Business Cycles in the Advanced Economies
Does the Cause of a Downturn Affect the Shape of the Cycle?
Can Policies Play a Useful Countercyclical Role?
Lessons for the Current Recession and Prospects for Recovery
Appendix 3.1. Data Sources and Methodologies
References
CONTENTS
CONTENTS
iv
Chapter 4. How Linkages Fuel the Fire: The Transmission of Financial Stress from
Advanced to Emerging Economies
Measuring Financial Stress
Links between Advanced and Emerging Economies
The Transmission of Financial Stress: An Overall Analysis
Lessons from Previous Advanced Economy Banking Crises
Implications for the Current Crisis
Which Policies Can Help?
Appendix 4.1. A Financial Stress Index for Emerging Economies
Appendix 4.2. Financial Stress in Emerging Economies: Econometric Analysis
References
Annex: IMF Executive Board Discussion of the Outlook, April 2009
Statistical Appendix
Assumptions
What’s New
Data and Conventions
Classifi cation of Countries
General Features and Composition of Groups in the World Economic
Outlook Classifi cation
List of Tables
Output (Tables A1–A4)
Infl ation (Tables A5–A7)
Financial Policies (Table A8)
Foreign Trade (Table A9)
Current Account Transactions (Tables A10–A12)
Balance of Payments and External Financing (Tables A13–A15)
Flow of Funds (Table A16)
Medium-Term Baseline Scenario (Table A17)

[此贴子已经被作者于2009-4-23 14:27:42编辑过]