CPI、工业增加值和房价都是平稳的,VAR系统也是平稳的(AR<1),但脉冲响应图却是发散的,为什么?是不是与LM检验中的值较小有关,即残差之间自相关?希望高手多多指点,不胜感谢!
Lag LogL LR FPE AIC SC HQ
0 -758.4141 NA 2.290737 9.342504 9.399444 9.365621
1 -277.5964 938.0370 0.007011 3.553330 3.781090 3.645798
2 -254.6571 43.90828 0.005910 3.382296 3.780877* 3.544115*
3 -245.0714 17.99517 0.005869* 3.375110* 3.944512 3.606281
4 -238.4694 12.15106 0.006048 3.404532 4.144755 3.705054
5 -231.4982 12.57378 0.006206 3.429426 4.340469 3.799299
6 -218.1610 23.56504 0.005892 3.376209 4.458073 3.815434
7 -214.8626 5.706484 0.006330 3.446167 4.698851 3.954743
8 -204.5361 17.48544* 0.006242 3.429890 4.853395 4.007818
Lags LM-Stat Prob
1 21.41169 0.0109
2 22.53388 0.0073
3 7.846853 0.5497
4 20.10680 0.0173
5 10.18257 0.3359
6 8.961103 0.4409