Date: 10/21/16 Time: 11:58
Sample (adjusted): 2000 2014
Included observations: 15 after adjustments
Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend
Series: LNX Y
Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 4
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.714881 23.65903 15.49471 0.0024
At most 1 * 0.275606 4.836299 3.841466 0.0279
Trace test indicates 2 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.714881 18.82273 14.26460 0.0089
At most 1 * 0.275606 4.836299 3.841466 0.0279
Max-eigenvalue test indicates 2 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
LNX Y
-2.404690 1.017280
1.094865 -3.709017
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(LNX) 0.028637 0.018207
D(Y) -0.259083 0.152109
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 25.19665
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
LNX Y
1.000000 -0.423040
(0.34695)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(LNX) -0.068862
(0.04206)
D(Y) 0.623014
(0.35784)
有几个协整关系,协整关系式?