2003年博士论文

1.导论..................................................................................................................1
1.1主题提出....................................................................................................1
1.2现状评述....................................................................................................3
1.3目标设定....................................................................................................8
1.4内容安排....................................................................................................9
1.5概念界定..................................................................................................13
2.中国结构演进特征........................................................................................17
2.1历史演进轨迹..........................................................................................17
2.2结构升级效果..........................................................................................24
2.3结构升级环境..........................................................................................39
2.4结构生态效应..........................................................................................41
2.5结构外向特征..........................................................................................42
2.6现行结构特征..........................................................................................45
3.全球结构演进趋势........................................................................................53
3.1产业转移全球化......................................................................................53
3.2结构升级全球化......................................................................................55
3.3产业发展融合化......................................................................................58
3.4产业结构绿色化......................................................................................60
3.5产业结构知识化
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....................................................................................61
3.6军民结合全球化......................................................................................63
4.产业结构优化原则
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......................................................................................65
4.1整体性......................................................................................................65
4.2层级性......................................................................................................67
4.3开放性......................................................................................................69
4.4动态性......................................................................................................71
4.5灰色性......................................................................................................724.6适时性......................................................................................................73
4.7效益性......................................................................................................75
5.产业结构升级方向
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......................................................................................77
5.1结构协调化..............................................................................................77
5.2结构高度化..............................................................................................82
5.3升级方向设计..........................................................................................84
6.确定产业优势序列.......................................................................................94
6.1产业序列的灰关联模型..........................................................................95
6.2子系统的总体依存趋势..........................................................................99
6.3确定子系统间依存趋势........................................................................101
6.4灰关联模型的应用研究........................................................................102
7.产业结构系统评价......................................................................................106
7.1评价指标选取原则................................................................................106
7.2创新能力系统评价
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..............................................................................107
7.3升级效果系统评价.................................................................................111
7.4建立系统评价模型
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...............................................................................117
7.5灰评估模型的应用................................................................................121
8.产业结构系统优化......................................................................................123
8.1完善国家创新体系，提高产业创新效率
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..........................................123
8.2整合技术创新资源，加速科技成果转化
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..........................................128
8.3立足动态比较优势，实现产业技术跨越............................................134