[英文原书] Profiting In Bull or Bear Markets (PDF Version)

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收藏 2009-09-01

Profiting in Bull or Bear Markets by George Dagnino

Investment professionals know that business and financial cycles drive the prices of stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and other assets. This price action, in turn, creates regular, foreseeable investment opportunities. Profiting in Bull or Bear Markets shows you how to identify price distortions and imbalances, minimizing investment risk while achieving superior, more predictable returns. Author George Dagnino, whose newsletter was named one of the past decade's top five investment letter by Forbes, The New York Times, and The Washington Post, combines disciplines from economies and finance to investment management and decision-making into one unified approach. He gives you plain-English, easy-to-understand criteria for making profitable investment decisions in any market -- regardless of prevailing economic and market conditions.

You're shown how to:

Identify sources of risk using business and financial cycles Calculate the best times to buy and sell stock, bonds, and other assets Implement strategies geared toward personal business interests Learn what types and mixtures of investments to hold as the economy changes . Table of Contents:

Chapter 1: Using Risk to Manage Your Money Successfully. Chapter 2: Economic Indicators. Chapter 3: Relationships between Economic Indicators. Chapter 4: The Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators. Chapter 5: The Business Cycle: A Practical Use of Economic Indicators. Chapter 6: Long-Term Economic and Investment Trends. Chapter 7: The Central Bank and Your Investments. Chapter 8: Inflation and Your Investments. Chapter 9: Bonds and Business Cycles. Chapter 10: The Stock Market and Business Cycles. Chapter 11: Technical Analysis of Stock Market Trends. Chapter 12: Managing Your Stock Portfolio Risk. Chapter 13: Improving Shareholder Value. Chapter 14: Conclusions. Chapter 15: What to Do Now.

Hardcover: 274 pages

Publisher: McGraw Hill (February 20, 2001)

http://www.amazon.com/Profiting-Bull-Markets-George-Dagnino/dp/0071367063/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1251809381&sr=8-1#reader

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玫瑰猴

2009-9-2 20:27:02

推荐看此书的人也看看这个吧,有帮助.

Sector Rotation over Business-Cycles

Jeffrey Stangl∗
Ben Jacobsen
Nuttawat Visaltanachoti
Massey University - Department of Commerce

Abstract
Sector rotation is a widely followed strategy in the investment community. Conventional
market wisdom suggests that timing investments in particular sectors with different
business-cycle stages generates additional performance. We introduce a very simple way
to test its value. We examine the performance of a strategy that perfectly rotates sectors
in accordance with conventional market wisdom over business-cycles since 1948. We
find that even 20/20 hindsight investors would have realized at best a 2.5% annual
outperformance by correctly timing their sector investments with business-cycles stages.
The profits of this best case scenario however quickly dissipate without the benefit of
perfect hindsight and after an allowance for transaction costs.

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