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2005-11-07
英文文献:Projecting Spatial Pattern of Housing Growth in Tennessee-预测田纳西州住房增长的空间模式
英文文献作者:Cho, Seong-Hoon,Clark, Christopher D.,Park, William M.
英文文献摘要:
Housing growth in Tennessee that incorporates spatial spillover and spatial heterogeneity at the level of census-block group is projected. A deterministic interpolation technique is adopted to create alternative neighborhood variables that captures spatial spillover of neighborhood effects on housing growth without multicollinearity. The maps drawn using the geographically weighted regression parameter estimates revealed that the local marginal effect of the housing price increases on housing growth gradually increases as one moves eastward. The population growth in the adjacent neighborhood-block group has about 10% of marginal effect of population growth in its own block group. The marginal effect of population growth is relatively higher in the approximate area of Cumberland Plateau while the local marginal effect of spatial spillover of population growth in adjacent neighbor is relatively higher in the East Tennessee and also the area South of Nashville.

在人口普查区组水平上,考虑空间溢出和空间异质性的田纳西州住房增长进行了预测。采用确定性插值技术来创建替代邻域变量,以捕获邻域效应对住房增长的空间溢出,而不存在多重共线性。利用地理加权回归参数估计绘制的地图显示,房价上涨对住房增长的局部边际效应随着东移而逐渐增强。相邻街区群的人口增长约为其自身街区群人口增长的边际效应的10%。在坎伯兰高原的近似区域,人口增长的边际效应相对较高,而在东田纳西州和纳什维尔以南区域,人口增长的空间溢出的局部边际效应相对较高。
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