1 论文标题： Premature Deindustrialisation in the Developing World
2 作者信息：

Dani Rodrik

Ford Foundation Professor of International PoliticalEconomy, Harvard University; and CEPR Research Fellow

3 出处和链接：
Dani Rodrik. Premature Deindustrialisation in the Developing World[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2017, 12(1): 1-6.
http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/10.3868/s060-006-017-0001-9

4  Abstract: As developed economies have substituted away from manufacturing towardsservices, so too have developing countries—to an even greater extent. Suchsectoral change may be premature for economies that never fully industrialisedin the first place. This article presents evidence that countries with smallermanufacturing sectors substitute away from manufacturing to a larger extent,suggesting a trade channel through which falling international relative pricesof manufacturing lead price-taking developing economies to substitute accordingly.

发展中世界去工业化为时尚早

DaniRodrik

哈佛大学国际政治经济学福特基金会讲席教授；

经济政策研究中心研究员

摘要：

正如发达经济体已经由制造业向服务业转移，发展中国家也在这样做，而且程度更甚。对于那些尚未完全实现工业化的经济体来说，这种部门变革可能为时尚早。本文提供证据表明，制造业部门规模更小的国家却在更大程度上从制造业转移，这说明制造业国际相对价格下降的贸易渠道促使毫无议价能力的发展中经济体进行这种转移。