Deutsche Bank 8 月 8 日长篇,22页。
Although we agree brewers’margins could ultimately expand after the expected industry consolidation,we think competition in the industry could intensify before this,given that the market is still fragmented from a provincial perspective.Meanwhile,our provincial analysis indicates that not all M&A create positive synergies.In 2017,rising raw material and logistics costs should also pressure margins.For CRB,we think the current valuation at 15x EV/EBITDA already factors in the benefits of M&A and industry margin expansion,while ignoring near-term margin pressure.We downgrade CRB to Hold.