胖胖小龟宝 发表于 2018-5-25 12:23 
在左在右是看后面统计量值是正是负的
MA(1)我觉得可以试试的
Dependent Variable: DZ
Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/25/18 Time: 12:25
Sample (adjusted): 1/03/2008 2/06/2015
Included observations: 1852 after adjustments
Convergence achieved after 10 iterations
MA Backcast: 1/02/2008
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.0007488108210489433 0.001074921563706667 -0.696619033733781 0.4861287575400669
MA(1) -0.9980945191679624 0.0007579491771480391 -1316.835678776678 0
R-squared 0.5193701000215554 Mean dependent var 0.01233801295896317
Adjusted R-squared 0.5191103000756211 S.D. dependent var 23.80251798755816
S.E. of regression 16.5061443798944 Akaike info criterion 8.44642179298561
Sum squared resid 504037.6842363509 Schwarz criterion 8.452387258876761
Log likelihood -7819.386580304675 Hannan-Quinn criter. 8.448620714708477
F-statistic 1999.115504638744 Durbin-Watson stat 2.084440223975064
Prob(F-statistic) 1.217071807151702e-296
Inverted MA Roots 1.00
这结果是不是没啥意义。。。