pundits 权威\are off to 去…地方

Many of the pundits have been warning that we could officially enter recession territory later this year or next year, but these numbers seem to indicate that it could happen a whole lot sooner than that.  But the stock market has been surging over the last two months, and at this point stocks are off to their best start to a year since 1987, and as long as stock prices are rising a lot of people are simply not going to pay much attention to the economic alarm bells that are ringing.  But everyone should be paying attention, because things are really starting to get bad out there.


每日计划清单

1.背单词1个-O
2.阅读60分钟-O
3.俯卧撑-x
4.卷腹-x
5.负重行走-X
6.手臂-X
7.肩膀-X

昨日阅读1小时，累计阅读288小时

20190301昨天阅读1小时，累计阅读145小时。

今天学习和阅读约5小时，累计阅读约1810小时。
学习和投资心得：
建立自己的股票观察池：建立自己的股票池非常重要，无论是在电视上，还是户外的广告，当你看到一家公司的广告能够打动你的话，那么也可以进一步的去看看它的一些资料，没准就能够找到一些不错的投资机会。关注一些优秀投资者的网络账号。随着互联网的发展，现在投资者可以非常方便的通过互联网渠道将自己的投资实践和感悟心得通过互联网进行分享。通过这些互联网平台，我们可以关注一些行业内的优秀投资者发布的文章。有的是基金经理，或者是民间涌现出来的投资达人。通过学习他们的投资思路、案例分析，在这个过程中，有可能会遇到一些我们感兴趣的投资机会。对于一个人是否值得关注的衡量标准是，在他过往的投资经历中，获取了比较好的投资业绩，同时分享的文章内容有很好的逻辑性，对于这样的一些高人可以作为我们投资路上的指引。当然，在投资中非常重要的是需要有独立思考的能力，无论这些高人的投资成绩如何，他们任何的分析文章，也仅仅只能是作为我们阅读材料的参考，尤其要注意不能因为迷信权威，在这些高人买入以后，自己也跟风买入。建立自己的投资社交圈子。在投资的过程中，如果一个人自己闭门造车的话，往往有可能会忽视掉一些公司的负面清单。那么，通过建立自己的投资圈子，将一些自己所信任，在投资理念上比较相通的朋友们聚集到一起，可以不定期的在网络上相互之间分享，或者举办线下的投资交流会，大家互相之间分享最近的投资理念的认识、投资案例的分析，那么通过这种朋友圈的关系，就可以有效的提高我们可能会遇到的一些潜在的投资机会。尤其是，通过与某一些已经对一家公司有过深入研究的朋友们在一起交流，让我们可以快速的抓住该投资机会需要关注的核心要点，也是可以大大的提高我们投资研究的效率。小结：（1）首先，通过股票软件的定量筛选，我们可以非常方便的把那些过往盈利能力比较突出的公司给筛选出来，可以快速的将我们需要考察的公司缩小在一定的范围内，然后逐一进行定性分析；（2）其次，在日常生活中，做一个留心的人。我们每天都可能会接触到很多上市公司的产品或服务，如果我们自己喜欢这家公司的产品，同时身边人也很喜欢的话，那么这家公司就可能具备比较好的盈利能力，那么就可以查看一些它们的财务指标，来验证我们的猜测；（3）最后，关注一些优秀投资者的网络账号，学习他们的投资理念和分享的案例。以及建立自己的投资圈子，分享自己所遇到的投资机会，以及学习其他朋友们所遇到的投资机会。

昨日阅读3h，累计 688.5 h
==================
《思想的力量：哲学导论》

424. 要发展出理想的国家，人才能获得真正的个性，那是特殊性和普遍性的独特综合。
不仅需要意识到绝对精神，而且需要在现实的历史当中把它具体地实现出来。

425. 马克思主义
功利主义者们从事的是社会和政治改革，而卡尔-马克思（Karl Marx，1818-1883）走得更远。
他所要求的不仅仅是社会变革，他要彻底地改造社会。他最著名的一句话：哲学家们仅仅试图理解世界，而重要的是改变世界。
《共产党宣言》（Communist Manifesto，1848），《政治经济学批判》（Critique of Political Economy, 1859）
马克思不把自己的工作看成哲学。他描绘并分析了人类社会和政治状况，但他并不把自己的理解看成是绝对的、终极的真理。

426. 生产方式对生产关系
马克思认为，理性的社会中不存在经济阶级的差别，也不存在工资、货币、私有财产和剥削。
每个人不仅拥有充足的物质生活条件，且还能自由而完满地发展自己的各方面能力，包括身体上和精神上的。人的异化（即人和周遭世界的疏离）将被降至最低限度。
他认为，人类是具有生物性需求的社会动物，只要我们发展出相应的方式，就能满足这些需求。
这些生产生活必需品的方式，叫做生产方式（means of production）或生产力（force of production）
对任何一套生产方式的运用又将导致新的需求以及新的生产方式。

生产方式牵涉到特定的社会关系，尤其是和财产相关的关系，这些社会关系（制度或惯例）就叫生产关系（production relations）
因此社会关系取决于生产力的发展阶段。


====================
Blockchain：
Distributed systems
A distributed system is one in which the application and its architecture is distributed over a large number of machines and preferably physical locations. More simply, a distributed system is one where the goal of the system is spread out across multiple sub-systems in different locations. This means that multiple computers in multiple locations must coordinate to achieve the goals of the overall system or application. This is different than monolithic applications, where everything is bundled together.
Let's take the example of a simple web application. A basic web application would run with processing, storage, and everything else running on a single web server. The code tends to run as a monolith—everything bundled together. When a user connects to the web application, it accepts the HTTP request, uses code to process the request, accesses a database, and then returns a result.
The advantage is that this is very easy to define and design. The disadvantage is that such a system can only scale so much. To add more users, you have to add processing power. As the load increases, the system owner cannot just add additional machines because the code is not designed to run on multiple machines at once. Instead, the owner must buy more powerful and more expensive computers to keep up. If users are coming from around the globe, there is another problem—some users who are near the server will get fast responses, whereas users farther away will experience some lag. The following diagram illustrates a single, monolithic code base building to a single artifact:
================
Django: Html5 css3 10pages.
==============
昨日阅读3h
累计 688.5 h

unwieldy
*[,ʌn'wi:ldi]
adjective
: not easily managed, handled, or used (as because of bulk, weight, complexity, or awkwardness) : CUMBERSOME

20190301昨天阅读1小时，累计阅读1小时。

昨日阅读0.5小时，累计阅读186小时。

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昨天继续学习了经济学意义及其在现实社会的应用，有人说经济学家更关心自己那些不切实际的理论，脱离那些能真正改变人类处境的事情，因此总体上来说他们不值得信赖。当21世纪初爆发全球经济危机时，经济学家遭到的抨击更为猛烈，为什么没有一个经济学家预见到危机的降临。许多人认为经济学家已经完全和现实脱节了。经济学也有应用在现实社会上，例如全球变暖是一个外部性问题，美国经济学家威廉·诺德豪斯（William Nordhaus）认为，二氧化碳排放是一类特殊的外部性问题，经济学家把全部的损失和利益都算出来了，并声称全社会必须将排放减半。为此，ZF要求所有人将自己的排放减半，甚至是禁止烧煤。诺德豪斯从经济学出发，提出ZF可以以更低的代价达到减排目标：通过对碳征税让人们减少排放。这个建议是让碳成本对人们的经济决策产生更大影响。ZF设定的税率要确保人们只制造从前一半的污染。另一种经济学的解决碳排放问题是签发“碳交易许可证”（carbon trading permits）。许可证允许持有者排放一定量的二氧化碳，没有证书的人不能排放。为了实现设定的排放水平，ZF签发等于该数量的证书。企业可以购买和销售这些证书。一家自觉难以削减排放的企业可以从另外一家能更容易削减排放的企业购买许可证。和征收排放税一样，那些能够轻易削减排放的污染者减少的排放最多。美国曾在20世纪90年代使用许可证减少造成威胁森林湖泊的“酸雨”的污染。诺德豪斯相信，通过对经济学最基本的工具——成本与收益的平衡——的关键性应用，我们仍然有时间解决全球变暖问题，避免全球性灾难。尽管不完美，经济学对人类来说却至关重要。那些最基本的经济学观点是解决各类问题的有力工具，特别是那些具体的问题。其中包括了全球变暖这种与人类子孙后代生活质量直接相关的问题。

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挑战第三百五十七天   读15页书，完成当日任务

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阅读2小时-O Done.  完成

Material: Michael E.Porter ‘s paper named a Strategy for Health Care Reform- toward a value based system issued in Jul.09,2009 the New England Journal of Medicine.
Reflection: what we need now is a clear national comprehensive vision for the kind of health care system we want to achieve and a path for getting there. The central focus shall be increasing value for patients –the health outcomes achieved per dollar spent. Good outcomes that are achieved efficiently are the goal, not the false savings from cost shifting and restricted service. The only way to truly contain costs in health care is to improve outcomes: in a value-based system, achieving and maintaining good health is inherently less costly than dealing with poor health. True reform will require both moving toward universal insurance coverage and restructuring the care delivery system. How can we achieve universal coverage in a way that will support, rather than impede, a fundamental reorientation of the delivery system around value for patients? There are several critical steps. First, we must change the nature of health insurance competition. We must introduce regulation to end coverage and price discrimination based on health risks or existing health problems. In addition, health plan shall be required to measure and report their subscriber’s health outcomes, starting with a group of important medical conditions. Second, we must keep employers in the insurance system; third, we need to address the unfair burden on people who has no access to employers-based coverage who therefore face higher premiums and greater difficulty on securing coverage. Fourth, to make individual insurance affordable, we need large statewide or multistate insurance pools, fifth, income-based subsidies will be needed to help lower income people to buy insurance, finally once a value-based insurance market had been established, everyone must be required to purchase the insurance so that young and healthier people could not opt out. For restructuring the delivery system where most of the value is created and most of the costs are incurred. First, measurement and dissemination of health outcomes shall become mandatory for every provider and every medical conditions. Second, we need to radically reexamine how to organize the delivery of prevention, wellness, screening and routine health maintenance services. Third, we need to reorganize care delivery around medical condition. Fourth, we need a reimbursement system that aligns everyone’s interests around improving value for patients. Fifth, we must expect and require providers to compete for patients, based on value at the medical-condition level, both within and across state borders. Sixth, electronic medical records will enable value improvement, but only if they support integrated care and outcome measurement. Finally consumers must become much more involved in their health and health care. Michael port did not mention why this is the right strategy.

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2019.3.1
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昨天一忙，不小心遗漏汇报了一天。补上记录不讨鼓励，哈哈！

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You will never know what you can do till you try.
你永远无法知道自己能做什么，直到你真的去做了。