3# why2255
2.2.5 Continuous Compounding 47
2.3 Taxonomy of Rates 49
2.3.1 Coupon Rate and Current Yield 49
2.3.2 Yield to Maturity 49
2.3.3 Spot Zero-Coupon (or Discount) Rate 51
2.3.4 Forward Rates 52
2.3.5 Bond Par Yield 54
2.4 End of Chapter Summary 54
2.5 References and Further Reading 54
2.6 Problems 55
PART II
TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES
3 Empirical Properties and Classical Theories of the Term Structure 63
3.1 Definition and Properties of the Term Structure 63
3.1.1 What Kind of Shape Can It Take? 65
3.1.2 How Does It Evolve over Time? 68
3.2 Classical Theories of the Term Structure 81
3.2.1 The Pure Expectations Theory 82
3.2.2 The Pure Risk Premium Theory 83
3.2.3 The Market Segmentation Theory 85
3.2.4 The Biased Expectations Theory:
An Integrated Approach 86
3.2.5 Illustration and Empirical Validation 86
3.2.6 Summary and Extensions 87
3.3 End of Chapter Summary 88
3.4 References and Further Reading 89
3.4.1 On the Empirical Behavior of the Yield Curve 89
3.4.2 On the Principal Component Analysis
of the Yield Curve 90
3.4.3 On the Classical Theories of the Term Structure
of Interest Rates 90
3.5 Problems 91
4 Deriving the Zero-Coupon Yield Curve 96
4.1 Deriving the Nondefault Treasury Zero-Coupon Yield Curve 96
4.1.1 How to Select a Basket of Bonds? 96
4.1.2 Direct Methods 97
4.1.3 Indirect Methods 103
4.2 Deriving the Interbank Zero-Coupon Rate Curve 130
4.2.1 How to Select the Basket of Instruments? 130
4.2.2 Interpolation Methods 132
4.2.3 Least Squares Methods Based on Rates 132
4.2.4 Least Squares Methods Based on Prices 133
4.3 Deriving Credit Spread Term Structures 136
4.3.1 Disjoint Methods 136
4.3.2 Joint Methods 137
4.4 End of Chapter Summary 142
4.5 References and Further Reading 144
4.6 Problems 146
4.7 Appendix: A Useful Modified Newton’s Algorithm 155
PART III
HEDGING INTEREST-RATE RISK
5 Hedging Interest-Rate Risk with Duration 163
5.1 Basics of Interest-Rate Risk: Qualitative Insights 163
5.1.1 The Five Theorems of Bond Pricing 163
5.1.2 Reinvestment Risk 164
5.1.3 Capital Gain Risk 165
5.1.4 Qualifying Interest-Rate Risk 166
5.2 Hedging with Duration 167
5.2.1 Using a One-Order Taylor Expansion 167
5.2.2 Duration, $Duration and Modified Duration 170
5.2.3 How to Hedge in Practice? 173
5.3 End of Chapter Summary 175
5.4 References and Further Reading 176
5.4.1 Books 176
5.4.2 Papers 176
5.5 Problems 177
6 Beyond Duration 182
6.1 Relaxing the Assumption of a Small Shift 182
6.1.1 Using a Second-Order Taylor Expansion 182
6.1.2 Properties of Convexity 185
6.1.3 Hedging Method 187
6.2 Relaxing the Assumption of a Parallel Shift 188
6.2.1 A Common Principle 188
6.2.2 Regrouping Risk Factors through
a Principal Component Analysis 192
6.2.3 Hedging Using a Three-Factor Model
of the Yield Curve 195
6.3 End of Chapter Summary 199
6.4 References and Further Reading 200
6.5 Problems 201
PART IV
INVESTMENT STRATEGIES
7 Passive Fixed-Income Portfolio Management 213
7.1 Straightforward Replication 213
7.2 Replication by Stratified Sampling 214
7.3 Tracking-Error Minimization 216
7.3.1 Optimization Procedure 216
7.3.2 Bond Return Covariance Matrix Estimation 217
7.4 Factor-Based Replication 226
7.5 Derivatives-Based Replication 229
7.6 Pros and Cons of Stratified Sampling versus
Tracking-Error Minimization 230
7.7 End of Chapter Summary 230
7.8 References and Further Reading 231
7.8.1 Books and Papers 231
7.8.2 Websites 231
7.9 Problems 231
8 Active Fixed-Income Portfolio Management 233
8.1 Market Timing: Trading on Interest-Rate Predictions 233
8.1.1 Timing Bets on No Change in the Yield Curve
or “Riding the Yield Curve” 234
8.1.2 Timing Bets on Interest-Rate Level 236
8.1.3 Timing Bets on Specific Changes in the
Yield Curve 238
8.1.4 Scenario Analysis 251
8.1.5 Active Fixed-Income Style Allocation Decisions 255
8.2 Trading on Market Inefficiencies 268
8.2.1 Trading within a Given Market: The Bond
Relative Value Analysis 269
8.2.2 Trading across Markets: Spread
and Convergence Trades 276
8.3 End of Chapter Summary 282
8.4 References and Further Reading 283
8.4.1 On Active Fixed-Income Strategies 283
8.4.2 On Active Asset Allocation Decisions 284
8.4.3 Others 286
8.5 Problems 286
9 Performance Measurement on Fixed-Income Portfolios 293
9.1 Return Measures 293
9.1.1 Arithmetic Rate of Return 293
9.1.2 Geometric Rate of Return 294
9.2 Risk-Adjusted Performance Evaluation 295
9.2.1 Absolute Risk-Adjusted Performance Evaluation 296
9.2.2 Relative Risk-Adjusted Performance Evaluation 299
9.3 Application of Style Analysis to Performance Evaluation
of Bond Portfolio Managers: An Example 309
9.3.1 Alpha Analysis 310
9.3.2 Passive Versus Active Managers 313
9.4 End of Chapter Summary 314
9.5 References and Further Reading 315
9.5.1 Books and Papers 315
9.5.2 Websites 316
9.6 Problems 316
PART V
SWAPS AND FUTURES
10 Swaps 325
10.1 Description of Swaps 325
10.1.1 Definition 325
10.1.2 Terminology and Conventions 325
10.2 Pricing and Market Quotes 326
10.2.1 Pricing of Swaps 326
10.2.2 Market Quotes 333
10.3 Uses of Swaps 334
10.3.1 Optimizing the Financial Conditions of a Debt 335
10.3.2 Converting the Financial Conditions of a Debt 336
10.3.3 Creating New Assets Using Swaps 337
10.3.4 Hedging Interest-Rate Risk Using Swaps 339
10.4 Nonplain Vanilla Swaps 342
10.4.1 Accrediting, Amortizing and Roller Coaster Swaps 342
10.4.2 Basis Swap 343
10.4.3 Constant Maturity Swap and Constant
Maturity Treasury Swap 343
10.4.4 Forward-Starting Swap 344
10.4.5 Inflation-Linked Swap 344
10.4.6 Libor in Arrears Swap 344
10.4.7 Yield-Curve Swap 345
10.4.8 Zero-Coupon Swap 345
10.5 End of Chapter Summary 346
10.6 References and Further Reading 346
10.6.1 Books and Papers 346
10.6.2 Websites 347
10.7 Problems 347
11 Forwards and Futures 353
11.1 Definition 353
11.2 Terminology, Conventions and Market Quotes 354
11.2.1 Terminology and Conventions 354
11.2.2 Quotes 356
11.3 Margin Requirements and the Role of the Clearing House 358
11.4 Conversion Factor and the Cheapest-to-Deliver Bond 359
11.4.1 The Cheapest to Deliver on the Repartition Date 360
11.4.2 The Cheapest to Deliver before
the Repartition Date 361
11.5 Pricing of Forwards and Futures 362
11.5.1 Forward-Spot Parity or How to Price
a Forward Contract? 362
11.5.2 The Forward Contract Payoff 364
11.5.3 Relation between Forward and Futures Prices 365
11.6 Uses of Forwards and Futures 365
11.6.1 Pure Speculation with Leverage Effect 365
11.6.2 Fixing Today the Financial Conditions of a Loan
or Investment in the Future 366
11.6.3 Detecting Riskless Arbitrage Opportunities
Using Futures 367
11.6.4 Hedging Interest-Rate Risk Using Futures 368
11.7 End of Chapter Summary 370
11.8 References and Further Reading 371
11.8.1 Books and Papers 371
11.8.2 Websites of Futures Markets and of the Futures
Industry Association 371
11.9 Problems 372
11.10 Appendix: Forward and Futures Prices Are Identical
When Interest Rates Are Constant 375
PART VI
MODELING THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES AND CREDIT SPREADS
12 Modeling the Yield Curve Dynamics 381
12.1 The Binomial Interest-Rate Tree Methodology 382
12.1.1 Building an Interest-Rate Tree 382
12.1.2 Calibrating an Interest-Rate Tree 384
12.2 Continuous-Time Models 387
12.2.1 Single-Factor Models 388
12.2.2 Multifactor Models 392
12.3 Arbitrage Models 396
12.3.1 A Discrete-Time Example: Ho and Lee’s
Binomial Lattice 396