“有一种武功，需要废掉之前的武功之后才能学的成。”

建议楼主直接《概率沉思录》，需要补的，然后翻其他参考书。

其实，作者Jaynes在前言里就说到：
“A previous acquaintance with probability and statistics is not necessary;
indeed, a certain amount of innocence in this area may be desirable, because there will be less to unlearn。”

because there will be less to unlearn！！！