This report contains detailed forecasts on global seaborne iron ore
and coal exports, including more than 65 of the world’s largest
commodity ports and new port projects. These are further used to
analyse the effect on dry bulk shipping rates.


Table of contents
PREFACE.......................................................................................... 8
THE PURPOSE OF THE STUDY 8
COVERAGE 8
SCALE OF MEASUREMENT 8
ESTIMATES 8
IRON ORE........................................................................................ 9
PROCESSING 9
IRON ORE DEPOSITS 9
PRODUCTION AND EXPORTS 10
IMPORTS 11
TRADE FLOWS 12
MAJOR PLAYERS 13
PRICING 14
IRON ORE PORTS 15
PORT CAPACITIES AND EXPORTS 17
PORT CONGESTION 19
AUSTRALIA 21
PORT HEDLAND 24
PORT OF DAMPIER AND CAPE LAMBERT 26
ESPERANCE PORT 27
PORT OF GERALDTON 27
PORT OF DARWIN 28
CAPE PRESTON 28
OAKAJEE PORT AND RAIL 28
ANKETELL POINT 29
BRAZIL 30
PONTA DA MADEIRA 32
TUBARÃO 33
GUAÍBA AND ITAGUAÍ (VALE) 34
ITAGUAÍ - TECAR TERMINAL (CSN) 34
PONTA DA UBU 35
AÇU SUPERPORT 35
SUDESTE PORT 36
FERROUS RESOURCES ESPÍRITO SANTOS PORT 36
BRAZORE 37
ITAGUAÍ (USIMINAS) 37
SOUTH AMERICA (EXCLUDING BRAZIL) 38
SAN JUAN DE MARCOMA 38
STRIKE RESOURCES 39
PUERTO PUNTO CACHOS 39
INDIA 41
MORMUGAO PORT 42
PARADIP PORT 43
PORT OF VISAKHAPATNAM 43
PORT OF CHENNAI 43
ENNORE PORT 44
HALDIA DOCK COMPLEX 44
NEW MANGALORE PORT 44
AFRICA 46
PORT OF SALDANHA 47
PORT OF NOUADHIBOU 48
PEPEL PORT / TAGRIN POINT 48
SIMANDOU 49
NORTH AMERICA 51
PORT-CARTIER 52
PORT DE SEPT-ÎLES 53
EUROPE AND CIS 54
PORT OF LULEÅ AND PORT OF NARVIK 55
PORT OF KEMI / PORT OF NARVIK (NORTHLAND RESOURCES) 56
FERREXPO YUZHNY TERMINAL 56
FREE PORT OF VENTSPILS 56
COAL ............................................................................................. 57
COAL TYPES 57
PROCESSING 57
COAL DEPOSITS 58
PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS 58
MARKET 59
PRICING 60
COAL PORTS COVERED IN THIS STUDY 61
PORT CAPACITIES AND EXPORTS – COAL 62
PORT CONGESTIONS 64
AUSTRALIA 65
PORT OF NEWCASTLE 67
PORT OF HAY POINT 68
PORT OF GLADSTONE 69
PORT OF ABBOT POINT 70
PORT KEMBLA 71
PORT OF BRISBANE 71
WARATAH COAL TERMINAL 71
INDONESIA 72
INFRASTRUCTURE AND LOGISTICS 72
DOMESTIC DEMAND 73
ARUTMIN 73
KALTIM PRIMA COAL 74
ADARO 74
EXPORT FORECASTS 75
THE U.S. 76
CANADA 79
WESTSHORE TERMINALS – PORT METRO VANCOUVER 80
RIDLEY TERMINALS – PORT OF PRINCE RUPERT 80
EUROPE (INCLUDING RUSSIA) 82
PORT OF SZCZECIN AND PORT OF SWINOUJSCIE 85
PORT OF GDANSK 85
FREE PORT OF VENTSPILS 85
FREE PORT OF RIGA 86
PORT OF TALLINN 86
STORE NORSKE 86
PORT OF UST-LUGA 87
PORT TEMRYUK 87
MURMANSK COMMERCIAL SEAPORT 87
VOSTOCHNY PORT 88
NAKHODKA COMMERCIAL SEAPORT 88
MALY PORT 88
VANINO COMMERCIAL SEA PORT 89
PORT POSIET 89
COLOMBIA 91
PUERTO BOLÍVAR 93
PUERTO DRUMMOND 93
PUERTO PRODECO 93
SOCIEDAD PORTUARIA RIO CORDOBA 93
MPX PORT 94
OTHER PORTS 94
AFRICA 95
RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL 96
MATOLA COAL TERMINAL 97
PORT OF BEIRA 97
DRY BULK SHIPPING...........................................................98
THE FLEETS 98
ADJUSTMENT OF EXPECTED VOLUMES 98
THE ORDERBOOK 99
CALCULATING TRIPS PER YEAR 99
IRON ORE 100
COAL 101
IRON ORE AND COAL 102
SCRAPPING 103
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 105
APPENDIX ........... 108