Chapter 1: Energy productivity: The key to curbing global energy demand growth
This chapter explores the concept of energy productivity—the level of output we achieve from our use of energy.
It also describes MGI's energy demand model, which takes a detailed look at each of the main end-use segments in
the world's largest economies to map the current global demand for energy and how it will accelerate with current policies.
Chapter 2: Policies to capture the energy productivity
MGI discusses the barriers against higher energy productivity, assesses the opportunities for removing them in each end-use segment,
and examines the implications for policymakers.
Chapter 3: Residential sector
The residential sector is not only the largest single energy end-use sector, accounting for one-quarter of global demand;
it is also where the largest energy productivity opportunities are waiting to be seized. Already planned policies will help
moderate the sector's energy demand growth by an amount equal to 15 percent of consumption in 2020. But additional measures,
strictly enforced, could boost energy productivity and cut 2020 demand by a further 21 percent.
Chapter 4: Commercial sector
Global energy demand from the commercial sector—including office and retail buildings, hotels and restaurants, and buildings used for
schools and hospitals—will maintain its current share of total energy demand of some 10 percent. The commercial sector could cut its
2020 demand for energy by 20 percent compared with MGI's base case if available energy productivity opportunities are captured.
Chapter 5: Road-transportation sector
The road-transportation sector's energy demand is the most sensitive to oil prices. Overall, the available energy productivity opportunities
in the sector stand at 6.5 million barrels per day versus base-case 2020 fuel demand. A large proportion of consumers worldwide are shielded
from changes in the oil price by subsidies, leaving room for substantial energy productivity improvement opportunities.
Chapter 6: Air-transportation sector
The global air-transport industry accounts for only 2.2 percent of worldwide energy demand and 6.6 percent of the global call on petroleum products.
Nevertheless, it will post the strongest demand growth of any energy end-use sector. Options for reducing air-transport energy demand are limited as
they require reducing air travel or consumer comfort by increasing the number of seats on planes.
Chapter 7: Industrial sector
MGI's analysis of industrial end-use energy demand focuses on three major segments: selected petrochemicals (ethylene and its derived products,
nitrogenous fertilizers, and chlorine-caustic), steel, and pulp and paper. Together they cover 31 percent of current global industrial energy demand,
and account for close to 50 percent of the energy demand growth MGI projects to 2020.
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