图书名称: Coherent Stress Testing: A Bayesian Approach to the Analysis of Financial Stress (英文版) 相干压力测试法 - 贝叶斯方法分析金融风险 (英文版)
本书作者: Riccardo Rebonat
报告时间: 2010年
报告页数: 237 页。
文件格式: PDF
文件大小: 1.2MB
简介:
Author Riccardo Rebonato, in his "Coherent Stress Testing: A Bayesian Approach to the Analysis of Financial Stress", presented a groundbreaking new approach to this important but often undervalued part of the risk management toolkit. This research and presentations filled a gap in quantitative risk management by introducing a new and very intuitively appealing approach to stress testing based on expert judgement and Bayesian networks.
It constitutes a radical departure from the traditional statistical methodologies based on Economic Capital or Extreme-Value-Theory approaches.
The book is split into four parts. Part I looks at stress testing and at its role in modern risk management. It discusses the distinctions between risk and uncertainty, the different types of probability that are used in risk management today and for which tasks they are best used. Stress testing is positioned as a bridge between the statistical areas where VaR can be effective and the domain of total Keynesian uncertainty. Part II lays down the quantitative foundations for the concepts described in the rest of the book. Part III takes readers through the application of the tools discussed in part II, and introduces two different systematic approaches to obtaining a coherent stress testing output that can satisfy the needs of industry users and regulators. In part IV the author addresses more practical questions such as embedding the suggestions of the book into a viable governance structure.
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