我查了一下资料,你说的没错,原假设应该是二者不相关。
参见 help ivreg2 (这是 xtivreg2 命令的前身):
When errors are assumed to be i.i.d., the test for weak identification automatically reported by ivreg2 is an F version of the Cragg-Donald Wald statistic, (N-L)/L1*CDEV, where L is the number of instruments and L1 is the number of excluded instruments. Stock and Yogo (2005) have compiled critical values for the Cragg-Donald F statistic for several different estimators (IV, LIML, Fuller-LIML), several different definitions of "perform poorly" (based on bias and test size), and a range of configurations (up to 100 excluded instruments and up to 2 or 3 endogenous regressors, depending on the estimator).
至于那三个临界值,你需要看看 Stock and Yogo (2005) 的原文。