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2011-03-04
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我想知道要怎么从理论上解释经济增长带来了货币供应量的增加,这个逻辑过程是什么呢?能解释的越详细越好~><还有记得好像有一个理论是说经济增长百分之多少,通货膨胀率就增加百分之多少@.@

谢谢大家啦~~

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malonechan 查看完整内容

供你参考 第二种解释应该能解释你的问题了 (摘自wiki) lucas模型是和friedman一样支持pi 改变y (or employment) intuition有些许不同 To Milton Friedman there is a short-term correlation between inflation shocks and employment. When an inflationary surprise occurs, workers are fooled into accepting lower pay because they do not see the fall in real wages right away. Firms hire them because they se ...
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2011-3-4 18:00:20
供你参考  第二种解释应该能解释你的问题了  (摘自wiki)
lucas模型是和friedman一样支持pi 改变y (or employment)  intuition有些许不同

To Milton Friedman there is a short-term correlation between inflation shocks and employment. When an inflationary surprise occurs, workers are fooled into accepting lower pay because they do not see the fall in real wages right away. Firms hire them because they see the inflation as allowing higher profits for given nominal wages. This is a movement along the Phillips curve as with change A. Eventually, workers discover that real wages have fallen, so they push for higher money wages. This causes the Phillips curve to shift upward and to the right, as with B.
Some economists[who?] reject this theory because it implies that workers suffer from money illusion. However, one of the characteristics of a modern industrial economy is that workers do not encounter their employers in an atomized and perfect market. They operate in a complex combination of imperfect markets, monopolies, monopsonies, labor unions, and other institutions. In many cases, they may lack the bargaining power to act on their expectations, no matter how rational they are, or their perceptions, no matter how free of money illusion they are. It is not that high inflation causes low unemployment (as in Milton Friedman's theory) as much as vice-versa: Low unemployment raises worker bargaining power, allowing them to successfully push for higher nominal wages. To protect profits, employers raise prices.
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2011-3-4 18:19:11
不知道你是不是说这个 (我不大懂宏观)

lucas supply function
y=yn+alpha*(pi-pi^e)+e

deviation of y  和 inflation和预期inflation的差值  有这么个关系
简单的模型可以从rbc模型配上wage的stickness推出来

原始模型见Lucas, R.E., Jr. (1972), “Expectations and the Neutrality of Money,” Journal of Economic Theory, 4, 103-124.
lucas 原始模型的intuition 是由于信息不对称造成的

一个cheap的解释 用wage 的stickness是说 预期wage 和实际wage的差异是被通胀率与预期通胀率的差值决定的  而这个预期与实际的wage的差异将决定经济output的差异
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2011-3-4 18:30:18
2# malonechan
啊~~遇上高人了~~谢谢你的回复~但是。。可以解释的通俗一些么||||用经济意义的解释方式不用数理模型><~~
(就像因为经济增长增加了对货币的需求,然后货币需求又影响了什么。。最后说到对货币供给的影响)
再次感谢~~
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2011-3-4 18:32:15
通货膨胀率=(名义GDP-实际GDP)/实际GDP
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2011-3-4 18:37:06
4# memo1990
谢谢你的回复~~但这个主要是从物价水平P的角度考虑,我想知道就Y的变化是如何影响到货币供应量M的变化,然后因为M的增加而增加了流动性~主要是讲从Y到M的这个中间过程的经济意义~
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