摘要翻译:
在许多领域,从业者寻求使用观察数据来学习满足应用程序特定约束的治疗分配政策,如预算、公平性、简单性或其他功能形式约束。例如,策略可能被限制为基于一组有限的易于观察的个人特征的决策树形式。在半参数有效估计理论的推动下,我们提出了一种新的方法来解决这个问题。我们的方法可以用来优化二元处理或无限小的连续处理,并可以利用观察数据,在使用各种策略确定因果效应的情况下,包括对观察项和工具变量的选择。给出了分配每个人接受治疗的因果效应的双重稳健估计量,我们开发了一个选择治疗者的算法,并为由此产生的政策的渐近功利后悔建立了强有力的保证。
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英文标题:
《Policy Learning with Observational Data》
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作者:
Susan Athey and Stefan Wager
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最新提交年份:
2020
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分类信息:
一级分类:Mathematics 数学
二级分类:Statistics Theory 统计理论
分类描述:Applied, computational and theoretical statistics: e.g. statistical inference, regression, time series, multivariate analysis, data analysis, Markov chain Monte Carlo, design of experiments, case studies
应用统计、计算统计和理论统计:例如统计推断、回归、时间序列、多元分析、
数据分析、马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗、实验设计、案例研究
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一级分类:Computer Science 计算机科学
二级分类:Machine Learning
机器学习
分类描述:Papers on all aspects of machine learning research (supervised, unsupervised, reinforcement learning, bandit problems, and so on) including also robustness, explanation, fairness, and methodology. cs.LG is also an appropriate primary category for applications of machine learning methods.
关于机器学习研究的所有方面的论文(有监督的,无监督的,强化学习,强盗问题,等等),包括健壮性,解释性,公平性和方法论。对于机器学习方法的应用,CS.LG也是一个合适的主要类别。
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一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述:Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论,微观计量经济学,宏观计量经济学,通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容,统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Machine Learning 机器学习
分类描述:Covers machine learning papers (supervised, unsupervised, semi-supervised learning, graphical models, reinforcement learning, bandits, high dimensional inference, etc.) with a statistical or theoretical grounding
覆盖机器学习论文(监督,无监督,半监督学习,图形模型,强化学习,强盗,高维推理等)与统计或理论基础
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一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Statistics Theory 统计理论
分类描述:stat.TH is an alias for math.ST. Asymptotics, Bayesian Inference, Decision Theory, Estimation, Foundations, Inference, Testing.
Stat.Th是Math.St的别名。渐近,贝叶斯推论,决策理论,估计,基础,推论,检验。
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英文摘要:
In many areas, practitioners seek to use observational data to learn a treatment assignment policy that satisfies application-specific constraints, such as budget, fairness, simplicity, or other functional form constraints. For example, policies may be restricted to take the form of decision trees based on a limited set of easily observable individual characteristics. We propose a new approach to this problem motivated by the theory of semiparametrically efficient estimation. Our method can be used to optimize either binary treatments or infinitesimal nudges to continuous treatments, and can leverage observational data where causal effects are identified using a variety of strategies, including selection on observables and instrumental variables. Given a doubly robust estimator of the causal effect of assigning everyone to treatment, we develop an algorithm for choosing whom to treat, and establish strong guarantees for the asymptotic utilitarian regret of the resulting policy.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1702.02896