摘要翻译：
研究了几个东欧、中欧国家和前苏联国家从社会主义经济体制向资本主义经济体制的过渡。本文用新近发展起来的个人收入分配及其演变的微观经济模型和人均GDP增长率与人均GDP达到水平之间的简单函数关系来描述这一转变过程。发展的过渡模型只包含三个定义参数，描述了过去15年中实际人均GDP的演变过程。研究发现，中欧国家几年前就已经完成了转轨过程，其经济演变是由纯粹的资本主义规则定义的。从长远来看，这意味着这些国家的未来必须走同样的道路，即依赖于人均GDP本身的人均GDP增长率，就像发达国家过去一样。如果所研究的国家出现了最优的GDP演变情景，它们将能够保持相对于包括美国在内的大多数发达国家的人均GDP的绝对滞后。但是如果他们遵循同样的发展规则，他们永远也赶不上发达国家。在俄罗斯和前苏联的一些国家，过渡进程仍远未完成。
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英文标题：
《Modelling the transition from a socialist to capitalist economic system》
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作者：
Ivan O. Kitov
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最新提交年份：
2008
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance        一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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一级分类：Physics        物理学
二级分类：Physics and Society        物理学与社会
分类描述：Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体（人类或其他）的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统（如能源网、运输网络）的物理和工程。
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英文摘要：
  The transition of several East and Central European countries and the countries of the Former Soviet Union from the socialist economic system to the capitalist one is studied. A recently developed microeconomic model for the personal income distribution and its evolution and a simple functional relationship between the rate of the per capita GDP growth and the attained level of the per capita GDP are used to describe the transition process. The developed transition model contains only three defining parameters and describes the process of real GDP per capita evolution during the last 15 years. It is found that the transition process finished in the Central European countries several years ago and their economic evolution is defined by pure capitalist rules. In the long run, this means that the future of these countries has to follow the same path, i.e. dependence on the per capita GDP growth rate of the per capita GDP itself, as the developed countries have had in the past. If the best GDP evolution scenario occurs for the studied countries, they will be able to maintain the absolute lag in per capita GDP relative to most developed countries including the USA. But they will never catch the advanced countries if they follow the same rules of development. In Russia and some countries of the Former Soviet Union the transition process is still far from complete.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/0811.1182