摘要翻译:
社会科学家经常试图理解年龄、时期和队列的不同影响,但很难分解这三个维度,因为队列=时期-年龄。我们认为,这种技术上的困难反映了如何概念化队列效应和如何在传统的年龄-时期-队列框架中建模之间的脱节。我们提出了一种新的方法,称为年龄-周期-队列-相互作用(APC-I)模型,它与以前的方法有质的不同,因为它代表了Ryder(1965)关于队列分化可能发生的条件的理论解释。这个APC-I模型不需要有问题的统计假设,解释是直接的。它量化了年龄和时期主效应的队列间偏差,也允许关于队列内生命过程动力学的假设检验。我们展示了如何用这个新模型来检验妇女劳动力参与的年龄、时期和队列模式。
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英文标题:
《The Age-Period-Cohort-Interaction Model for Describing and Investigating
Inter-Cohort Deviations and Intra-Cohort Life-Course Dynamics》
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作者:
Liying Luo and James Hodges
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最新提交年份:
2019
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分类信息:
一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Applications 应用程序
分类描述:Biology, Education, Epidemiology, Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Medical, Physical Sciences, Quality Control, Social Sciences
生物学,教育学,流行病学,工程学,环境科学,医学,物理科学,质量控制,社会科学
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一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述:Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论,微观计量经济学,宏观计量经济学,通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容,统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Methodology 方法论
分类描述:Design, Surveys, Model Selection, Multiple Testing, Multivariate Methods, Signal and Image Processing, Time Series, Smoothing, Spatial Statistics, Survival Analysis, Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods
设计,调查,模型选择,多重检验,多元方法,信号和图像处理,时间序列,平滑,空间统计,生存分析,非参数和半参数方法
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英文摘要:
Social scientists have frequently sought to understand the distinct effects of age, period, and cohort, but disaggregation of the three dimensions is difficult because cohort = period - age. We argue that this technical difficulty reflects a disconnection between how cohort effect is conceptualized and how it is modeled in the traditional age-period-cohort framework. We propose a new method, called the age-period-cohort-interaction (APC-I) model, that is qualitatively different from previous methods in that it represents Ryder's (1965) theoretical account about the conditions under which cohort differentiation may arise. This APC-I model does not require problematic statistical assumptions and the interpretation is straightforward. It quantifies inter-cohort deviations from the age and period main effects and also permits hypothesis testing about intra-cohort life-course dynamics. We demonstrate how this new model can be used to examine age, period, and cohort patterns in women's labor force participation.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1906.08357