摘要翻译:
实验经济学一再证明,纳什均衡对大量的博弈做出了不准确的预测。相反,几个可供选择的理论概念预测的行为更符合观察数据,量子响应平衡是最突出的例子。然而,我们在这里表明,这个均衡概念本身,就像任何其他随收益平稳变化的概念一样,必然受到框架效应的影响:如果同样的经济问题以不同但等价的方式来表示,预测的结果就会不同。因此,我们认为,在实验室实验中成功解释人类行为的工具和方法可能不适合做理论。
---
英文标题:
《Equilibrium notions and framing effects》
---
作者:
Christian Hilbe
---
最新提交年份:
2011
---
分类信息:
一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:General Finance 一般财务
分类描述:Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
--
---
英文摘要:
Experimental economics has repeatedly demonstrated that the Nash equilibrium makes inaccurate predictions for a vast set of games. Instead, several alternative theoretical concepts predict behavior that is much more in tune with observed data, with the quantal response equilibrium as the most prominent example. However, here we show that this equilibrium notion itself, like any other concept that varies smoothly with the payoffs, is necessarily subject to framing effects: If the same economic problem is represented in a different but equivalent way, the predicted results will differ. As a consequence, we argue that tools and methods that are successful in explaining human behavior in laboratory experiments may be unsuitable for doing theory.
---
PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1012.1188