连老师
. varsoc lncu lnyu
Selection-order criteria
Sample: 1982 - 2009 Number of obs = 28
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|lag | LL LR df p FPE AIC HQIC SBIC |
|----+----------------------------------------------------------------------|
| 0 | -24.0072 .021971 1.85766 1.88675 1.95282 |
| 1 | 96.5508 241.12 4 0.000 5.3e-06 -6.46792 -6.38065 -6.18245 |
| 2 | 108.808 24.514 4 0.000 3.0e-06 -7.0577 -6.91225 -6.58192 |
| 3 | 115.843 14.071 4 0.007 2.4e-06 -7.27452 -7.07089 -6.60842* |
| 4 | 122.2 12.713* 4 0.013 2.1e-06* -7.44286* -7.18104* -6.58644 |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Endogenous: lncu lnyu
Exogenous: _cons
vecrank lncu lnyu, lags(3)
Johansen tests for cointegration
Trend: constant Number of obs = 29
Sample: 1981 - 2009 Lags = 3
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5%
maximum trace critical
rank parms LL eigenvalue statistic value
0 10 108.94497 . 7.2396* 15.41
1 13 112.56318 0.22083 0.0032 3.76
2 14 112.56479 0.00011
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继续往下做的时候,协整关系个数为0,如上结果所示?