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. vecrank tfp rnd
Johansen tests for cointegration
>
Trend: constant Number of obs = 1
> 8
Sample: 1985 - 2002 Lags =
> 2
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> -
5%
maximum trace critical
rank parms LL eigenvalue statistic value
0 6 132.10984 . 18.7145 15.41
1 9 139.54863 0.56244 3.8369 3.76
2 10 141.46708 0.19197
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> -
. reg tfp rnd
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 20
-------------+------------------------------ F( 1, 18) = 49.50
Model | .013468391 1 .013468391 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | .004897407 18 .000272078 R-squared = 0.7333
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.7185
Total | .018365799 19 .000966621 Root MSE = .01649
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tfp | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
rnd | 1.01649 .1444748 7.04 0.000 .7129599 1.320021
_cons | .124386 .0357963 3.47 0.003 .0491807 .1995913
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. gen s2=tfp-1.01649*rnd
. dfuller s2
Dickey-Fuller test for unit root Number of obs = 19
---------- Interpolated Dickey-Fuller ---------
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic Value Value Value
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Z(t) -1.103 -3.750 -3.000 -2.630
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MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) = 0.7140
请大家帮忙看看这个检验,协整检验是过了的,然后做y对x的回归,得到系数beta,令s=y-beta*x,做s的单位根检验,没有过,说明,s不是I(0)的。
那么协整系数究竟要怎么求呢?这个结果我是不是看错了?
协整方程是什么意思?怎么求解?