摘要翻译：
由于城市铁路在减少拥挤和空气污染等城市交通相关问题方面的突出地位，对可能的新城市铁路项目成本的深入了解对于那些参与成本估算的人、决策者、成本效益分析人员和其他目标群体非常重要。目前文献中缺乏关于每公里费用差异的知识，包括对差异及其细目的解释。本文的目的是提供一个第一阶段的洞察力如何每公里成本变化的城市铁路项目。所采用的方法是对收集的数据具有可比性的项目进行简单的成本比较。我们得出的结论是，城市铁路每公里路线的资本成本在不同项目之间差异很大。从欧洲项目来看，如果不考虑异常值，每公里线路的总资本成本（包括车站和车辆）主要在5000万至1亿美国美元（2002年价格）之间。包括美国项目在内，美国的范围为5000万至1.5亿美元。路线-公里费用差异较大的主要原因是各项目在地下与地上建筑的比例、地面条件、车站间距、机车车辆类型、环境和安全限制以及人工费用方面存在差异。然而，我们警告说，用于得出结论的观察太少，无法获得具有统计学意义的结果。因此，我们的结果必须被视为收集更多数据的第一步，以便能够进行更简洁的统计分析。因此，另一个结论是，这一领域具有未来的研究潜力。
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英文标题：
《Comparison of Capital Costs per Route-Kilometre in Urban Rail》
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作者：
Bent Flyvbjerg, Nils Bruzelius, and Bert van Wee
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最新提交年份：
2013
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance        一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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英文摘要：
  Because of the prominent position of urban rail in reducing urban transport-related problems, such as congestion and air pollution, insights into the costs of possible new urban rail projects is very relevant for those involved with cost estimations, policy makers, cost-benefit analysts, and other target groups. Knowledge of the differences in costs per kilometre, including explanations of differences and their breakdowns is currently lacking in the literature. This paper aims to provide a first stage insight into how cost per kilometre varies across urban rail projects. The methodology applied is a simple cost comparison across projects where the data collected are comparable. We conclude that capital costs per route-kilometre of urban rail vary highly between projects. Looking at European projects and excluding outliers, the total capital costs per route-kilometre (including stations and rolling stock) lie mainly between US$50-100 million (2002 prices). Including US projects, the range is US$50-150 million. The main reasons for the high variation in the route-kilometre costs are differences between projects as regards the ratio of underground to above-ground construction, ground conditions, station spacing, type of rolling stock, environmental and safety constraints and labour costs. We warn, however, that the observations used to reach the conclusions are too few to obtain results with statistical significance. Our results must therefore be seen as a first step towards collecting more data so that a more succinct statistical analysis can be conducted. Another conclusion is therefore that this area has future research potential.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1303.6569