摘要翻译：
贝叶斯框架是一个被广泛研究和成功的归纳推理框架，它包括假设检验和确认、参数估计、序列预测、分类和回归。但是，选择模型类和优先级的标准统计指南并不总是可用或失败，尤其是在复杂的情况下。Solomonoff通过为模型类和先验类提供一个严格的、唯一的、正式的和通用的选择来完成贝叶斯框架。我们在广度上讨论如何以及在何种意义上普遍（非I.I.D.）序列预测解决了传统贝叶斯序列预测的各种（哲学）问题。我们证明了Solomonoff模型具有强全界和弱瞬时界，并且与大多数经典连续先验密度相比，不存在零p(oste)rior问题，即可以证实普遍假设，是再参数化和再分组不变量，避免了旧证据和更新问题。它甚至在不可计算的环境中表现良好（实际上更好）。
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英文标题：
《On Universal Prediction and Bayesian Confirmation》
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作者：
Marcus Hutter
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最新提交年份：
2007
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分类信息：

一级分类：Mathematics        数学
二级分类：Statistics Theory        统计理论
分类描述：Applied, computational and theoretical statistics: e.g. statistical inference, regression, time series, multivariate analysis, data analysis, Markov chain Monte Carlo, design of experiments, case studies
应用统计、计算统计和理论统计：例如统计推断、回归、时间序列、多元分析、数据分析、马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗、实验设计、案例研究
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一级分类：Computer Science        计算机科学
二级分类：Information Theory        信息论
分类描述：Covers theoretical and experimental aspects of information theory and coding. Includes material in ACM Subject Class E.4 and intersects with H.1.1.
涵盖信息论和编码的理论和实验方面。包括ACM学科类E.4中的材料，并与H.1.1有交集。
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一级分类：Computer Science        计算机科学
二级分类：Machine Learning        机器学习
分类描述：Papers on all aspects of machine learning research (supervised, unsupervised, reinforcement learning, bandit problems, and so on) including also robustness, explanation, fairness, and methodology. cs.LG is also an appropriate primary category for applications of machine learning methods.
关于机器学习研究的所有方面的论文（有监督的，无监督的，强化学习，强盗问题，等等），包括健壮性，解释性，公平性和方法论。对于机器学习方法的应用，CS.LG也是一个合适的主要类别。
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一级分类：Mathematics        数学
二级分类：Information Theory        信息论
分类描述：math.IT is an alias for cs.IT. Covers theoretical and experimental aspects of information theory and coding.
它是cs.it的别名。涵盖信息论和编码的理论和实验方面。
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一级分类：Statistics        统计学
二级分类：Machine Learning        机器学习
分类描述：Covers machine learning papers (supervised, unsupervised, semi-supervised learning, graphical models, reinforcement learning, bandits, high dimensional inference, etc.) with a statistical or theoretical grounding
覆盖机器学习论文（监督，无监督，半监督学习，图形模型，强化学习，强盗，高维推理等）与统计或理论基础
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一级分类：Statistics        统计学
二级分类：Statistics Theory        统计理论
分类描述：stat.TH is an alias for math.ST. Asymptotics, Bayesian Inference, Decision Theory, Estimation, Foundations, Inference, Testing.
Stat.Th是Math.St的别名。渐近，贝叶斯推论，决策理论，估计，基础，推论，检验。
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英文摘要：
  The Bayesian framework is a well-studied and successful framework for inductive reasoning, which includes hypothesis testing and confirmation, parameter estimation, sequence prediction, classification, and regression. But standard statistical guidelines for choosing the model class and prior are not always available or fail, in particular in complex situations. Solomonoff completed the Bayesian framework by providing a rigorous, unique, formal, and universal choice for the model class and the prior. We discuss in breadth how and in which sense universal (non-i.i.d.) sequence prediction solves various (philosophical) problems of traditional Bayesian sequence prediction. We show that Solomonoff's model possesses many desirable properties: Strong total and weak instantaneous bounds, and in contrast to most classical continuous prior densities has no zero p(oste)rior problem, i.e. can confirm universal hypotheses, is reparametrization and regrouping invariant, and avoids the old-evidence and updating problem. It even performs well (actually better) in non-computable environments.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/709.1516