摘要翻译:
本文旨在解决在睡美人问题和各种相关的人类(自定位信念)问题中Agent应该如何行动,而不是通过计算人类概率,而是通过寻找正确的决策来解决。它创造了一个人类决策理论(ADT),从一小组原则中决定这些问题。通过这样做,它表明代理人对彼此的态度(自私的或利他的)改变了他们达成的决定,考虑到这一点是非常重要的。为了说明ADT,本文将其应用于两个主要的人类问题和悖论,即傲慢的哲学家和世界末日问题,从而解决了一些关于人类灭绝概率的问题。
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英文标题:
《Anthropic decision theory》
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作者:
Stuart Armstrong
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最新提交年份:
2017
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分类信息:
一级分类:Physics 物理学
二级分类:Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
数据分析、统计与概率
分类描述:Methods, software and hardware for physics data analysis: data processing and storage; measurement methodology; statistical and mathematical aspects such as parametrization and uncertainties.
物理数据分析的方法、软硬件:数据处理与存储;测量方法;统计和数学方面,如参数化和不确定性。
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一级分类:Computer Science 计算机科学
二级分类:Artificial Intelligence
人工智能
分类描述:Covers all areas of AI except Vision, Robotics, Machine Learning, Multiagent Systems, and Computation and Language (Natural Language Processing), which have separate subject areas. In particular, includes Expert Systems, Theorem Proving (although this may overlap with Logic in Computer Science), Knowledge Representation, Planning, and Uncertainty in AI. Roughly includes material in ACM Subject Classes I.2.0, I.2.1, I.2.3, I.2.4, I.2.8, and I.2.11.
涵盖了人工智能的所有领域,除了视觉、机器人、机器学习、多智能体系统以及计算和语言(自然语言处理),这些领域有独立的学科领域。特别地,包括专家系统,定理证明(尽管这可能与计算机科学中的逻辑重叠),知识表示,规划,和人工智能中的不确定性。大致包括ACM学科类I.2.0、I.2.1、I.2.3、I.2.4、I.2.8和I.2.11中的材料。
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一级分类:Physics 物理学
二级分类:High Energy Physics - Theory 高能物理-理论
分类描述:Formal aspects of quantum field theory. String theory, supersymmetry and supergravity.
量子场论的形式方面。弦理论,超对称性和超引力。
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一级分类:Physics 物理学
二级分类:Popular Physics 大众物理学
分类描述:Description coming soon
描述即将到来
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英文摘要:
This paper sets out to resolve how agents ought to act in the Sleeping Beauty problem and various related anthropic (self-locating belief) problems, not through the calculation of anthropic probabilities, but through finding the correct decision to make. It creates an anthropic decision theory (ADT) that decides these problems from a small set of principles. By doing so, it demonstrates that the attitude of agents with regards to each other (selfish or altruistic) changes the decisions they reach, and that it is very important to take this into account. To illustrate ADT, it is then applied to two major anthropic problems and paradoxes, the Presumptuous Philosopher and Doomsday problems, thus resolving some issues about the probability of human extinction.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1110.6437