英文标题：
《Development Towards Sustainability: How to judge past and proposed
  policies?》
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作者：
Michael Dittmar (Institute of Particle Physics, ETH Zurich,
  Switzerland)
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最新提交年份：
2013
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英文摘要：
  The scientific data about the state of our planet, presented at the 2012 (Rio+20) summit, documented that today\'s human family lives even less sustainably than it did in 1992. The data indicate furthermore that the environmental impacts from our current economic activities are so large, that we are approaching situations where potentially controllable regional problems can easily lead to uncontrollable global disasters.   Assuming that (1) the majority of the human family, once adequately informed, wants to achieve a \"sustainable way of life\" and (2) that the \"development towards sustainability\" roadmap will be based on scientific principles, one must begin with unambiguous and quantifiable definitions of these goals. As will be demonstrated, the well known scientific method to define abstract and complex issues by their negation, satisfies these requirements. Following this new approach, it also becomes possible to decide if proposed and actual policies changes will make our way of life less unsustainable, and thus move us potentially into the direction of sustainability. Furthermore, if potentially dangerous tipping points are to be avoided, the transition roadmap must include some minimal speed requirements. Combining the negation method and the time evolution of that remaining natural capital in different domains, the transition speed for a \"development towards sustainability\" can be quantified at local, regional and global scales.   The presented ideas allow us to measure the rate of natural capital depletion and the rate of restoration that will be required if humanity is to avoid reaching a sustainable future by a collapse transition.
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中文摘要：
2012年里约+20峰会上公布的有关地球状况的科学数据证明，今天的人类家庭生活甚至比1992年更不可持续。这些数据进一步表明，我们当前的经济活动对环境的影响如此之大，以至于我们正在接近一种情况，即潜在的可控区域问题很容易导致无法控制的全球灾难。假设（1）人类大家庭的大多数成员一旦充分了解情况，就希望实现“可持续的生活方式”，以及（2）“向可持续发展的发展”路线图将以科学原则为基础，我们必须从这些目标的明确和量化定义开始。正如将要展示的那样，通过否定抽象和复杂问题来定义这些问题的众所周知的科学方法满足了这些要求。遵循这一新方法，还可以决定提议的和实际的政策变化是否会使我们的生活方式不那么不可持续，从而使我们有可能走向可持续发展的方向。此外，如果要避免潜在的危险引爆点，过渡路线图必须包括一些最低速度要求。结合否定方法和不同领域剩余自然资本的时间演变，可以在地方、区域和全球范围内量化“向可持续发展的发展”的过渡速度。提出的想法使我们能够衡量自然资本的消耗率和恢复率，如果人类要避免通过崩溃过渡实现可持续的未来，这将是必需的。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Physics        物理学
二级分类：Physics and Society        物理学与社会
分类描述：Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体（人类或其他）的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统（如能源网、运输网络）的物理和工程。
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一级分类：Physics        物理学
二级分类：Popular Physics        大众物理学
分类描述：Description coming soon
描述即将到来
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance        一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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